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Background Accumulating data implicate interleukin (IL)-33, a proinflammatory cytokine released locally upon epithelial cell damage, in the pathogenesis of COPD. In a phase 2 study, itepekimab, a human monoclonal antibody against IL-33, reduced exacerbations and improved lung function in a subgroup analysis of former smokers with COPD with an acceptable safety profile. Methods The study designs of AERIFY-1 and AERIFY-2 are described in this article. Discussion The primary objective of AERIFY-1/2 (NCT04701983/NCT04751487), two phase 3 randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials, is to assess the efficacy and safety of itepekimab versus placebo in a population of former smokers with moderate-to-severe COPD over up to 52 weeks. An additional secondary population of current smokers are being enrolled in AERIFY-2. These two studies will enrol patients (aged 40–85 years) with COPD and chronic bronchitis who had ≥2 moderate or ≥ 1 severe exacerbations within the previous year despite standard-of-care triple or double background therapy. All participants are required to have ≥10-pack-year smoking history, and ≥6 months since smoking cessation for former smokers. The primary end-point is the annualised rate of moderate or severe acute exacerbation of COPD. Secondary end-points include change from baseline in pre- and post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 s, and annualised frequency of severe exacerbations. Symptomatic end-points include Evaluating Respiratory Symptoms in COPD and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire, safety and anti-drug antibody responses.

Abstract The consequences of returning infectious pathogen test results identified incidentally in research studies have not been well-studied. Concerns include identification of an important health issue for individuals, accuracy of research test results, public health impact, potential emotional distress for participants, and need for IRB permissions. Blood RNA-sequencing analysis for non-human RNA in 3984 participants from the COPDGene study identified 228 participants with evidence suggestive for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We hypothesized that incidentally discovered HCV results could be effectively returned to COPDGene participants with attention to the identified concerns. In conjunction with a COPDGene Participant Advisory Panel, we developed and obtained IRB approval for a process of returning HCV research results and an HCV Follow-Up Study questionnaire to capture information about previous HCV diagnosis and treatment information and participant reactions to return of HCV results. During phone calls following the initial HCV notification letter, 84 of 124 participants who could be contacted (67.7%) volunteered that they had been previously diagnosed with HCV infection. Thirty-one of these 124 COPDGene participants were enrolled in the HCV Follow-Up Study. Five of the 31 HCV Follow-Up Study participants did not report a previous diagnosis of HCV. For four of these participants, subsequent clinical HCV testing confirmed HCV infection. Thus, 30/31 Follow-Up Study participants had confirmed HCV diagnoses, supporting the accuracy of the HCV research test results. However, the limited number of participants in the Follow-Up Study precludes an accurate assessment of the false-positive and false-negative rates of the research RNA sequencing evidence for HCV. Most HCV Follow-Up Study participants (29/31) were supportive of returning HCV research results, and most participants found the process for returning HCV results to be informative and not upsetting. Newly diagnosed participants were more likely to be pleased to learn about a potentially curable infection (p = 0.027) and showed a trend toward being more frightened by the potential health risks of HCV (p = 0.11). We conclude that HCV results identified incidentally during transcriptomic research studies can be successfully returned to research study participants with a carefully designed process.

Summary: Background: Abnormal lung function trajectories are associated with increased risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and premature mortality; several risk factors for following these trajectories have been identified. Airway under-sizing dysanapsis (small airway lumens relative to lung size), is associated with an increased risk for COPD. The relationship between dysanapsis and lung function trajectories at risk for adverse outcomes of COPD is largely unexplored. We test the hypothesis that dysanapsis differentially affects distinct lung function trajectories associated with adverse outcomes of COPD. Methods: To identify lung function trajectories, we applied Bayesian trajectory analysis to longitudinal FEV1 and FVC Z-scores in the COPDGene Study, an ongoing longitudinal study that collected baseline data from 2007 to 2012. To ensure clinical relevance, we selected trajectories based on risk stratification for all-cause mortality and prospective exacerbations of COPD (ECOPD). Dysanapsis was measured in baseline COPDGene CT scans as the airway lumen-to-lung volume (a/l) ratio. We compared a/l ratios between trajectories and evaluated their association with trajectory assignment, controlling for previously identified risk factors. We also assigned COPDGene participants for whom only baseline data is available to their most likely trajectory and repeated our analysis to further evaluate the relationship between trajectory assignment and a/l ratio measures. Findings: We identified seven trajectories: supranormal, reference, and five trajectories at increased risk for mortality and exacerbations. Three at-risk trajectories are characterized by varying degrees of concomitant FEV1 and FVC impairments and exhibit airway predominant COPD patterns as assessed by quantitative CT imaging. These trajectories have lower a/l ratio values and increased risk for mortality and ECOPD compared to the reference trajectory. Two at-risk trajectories are characterized by disparate levels of FEV1 and FVC impairment and exhibit mixed airway and emphysema COPD patterns on quantitative CT imaging. These trajectories have markedly lower a/l ratio values compared to both the reference trajectory and airway-predominant trajectories and are at greater risk for mortality and ECOPD compared to the airway-predominant trajectories. These findings were observed among the participants with baseline-only data as well. Interpretation: The degree of dysanapsis appears to portend patterns of progression leading to COPD. Assignment of individuals—including those without spirometric obstruction—to distinct trajectories is possible in a clinical setting and may influence management strategies. Strategies that combine CT-assessed dysanapsis together with spirometric measures of lung function and smoke exposure assessment are likely to further improve trajectory assignment accuracy, thereby improving early detection of those most at risk for adverse outcomes. Funding: United States National Institute of Health, COPD Foundation, and Brigham and Women's Hospital.

Abstract Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a disease of accelerated aging and is associated with comorbid conditions including osteoporosis and sarcopenia. These extrapulmonary conditions are highly prevalent yet frequently underdiagnosed and overlooked by pulmonologists in COPD treatment and management. There is evidence supporting a role for bone-muscle crosstalk which may compound osteoporosis and sarcopenia risk in COPD. Chest CT is commonly utilized in COPD management, and we evaluated its utility to identify low bone mineral density (BMD) and reduced pectoralis muscle area (PMA) as surrogates for osteoporosis and sarcopenia. We then tested whether BMD and PMA were associated with morbidity and mortality in COPD. Methods BMD and PMA were analyzed from chest CT scans of 8468 COPDGene participants with COPD and controls (smoking and non-smoking). Multivariable regression models tested the relationship of BMD and PMA with measures of function (6-min walk distance (6MWD), handgrip strength) and disease severity (percent emphysema and lung function). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relationship between sex-specific quartiles of BMD and/or PMA derived from non-smoking controls with all-cause mortality. Results COPD subjects had significantly lower BMD and PMA compared with controls. Higher BMD and PMA were associated with increased physical function and less disease severity. Participants with the highest BMD and PMA quartiles had a significantly reduced mortality risk (36% and 46%) compared to the lowest quartiles. Conclusions These findings highlight the potential for CT-derived BMD and PMA to characterize osteoporosis and sarcopenia using equipment available in the pulmonary setting.

Abstract Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the third leading cause of death globally. COPD patients with cachexia or weight loss have increased risk of death independent of body mass index (BMI) and lung function. We tested the hypothesis genetic variation is associated with weight loss in COPD using a genome‐wide association study approach. Methods Participants with COPD (N = 4308) from three studies (COPDGene, ECLIPSE, and SPIROMICS) were analysed. Discovery analyses were performed in COPDGene with replication in SPIROMICS and ECLIPSE. In COPDGene, weight loss was defined as self‐reported unintentional weight loss > 5% in the past year or low BMI (BMI

Abstract Contact and inhalation of virions-carrying human aerosols represent the primary transmission pathway for airborne diseases including the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Relative to sneezing and coughing, non-symptomatic aerosol-producing activities such as speaking are highly understudied. The dispersions of aerosols from vocalization by a human subject are hereby quantified using high-speed particle image velocimetry. Syllables of different aerosol production rates were tested and compared to coughing. Results indicate aerosol productions and penetrations are not correlated. E.g. ‘ti’ and ‘ma’ have similar production rates but only ‘ti’ penetrated as far as coughs. All cases exhibited a rapidly penetrating “jet phase” followed by a slow “puff phase.” Immediate dilution of aerosols was prevented by vortex ring flow structures that concentrated particles toward the plume-front. A high-fidelity assessment of risks to exposure must account for aerosol production rate, penetration, plume direction and the prevailing air current.

Abstract Introduction Cachexia contributes to increased mortality and reduced quality of life in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) and may be associated with underlying gene expression changes. Our goal was to identify differential gene expression signatures associated with COPD cachexia in current and former smokers. Methods We analyzed whole-blood gene expression data from participants with COPD in a discovery cohort (COPDGene, N = 400) and assessed replication (ECLIPSE, N = 114). To approximate the consensus definition using available criteria, cachexia was defined as weight-loss > 5% in the past 12 months or low body mass index (BMI) ( 5% in the past 12 months or low BMI and 3/5 criteria: decreased muscle strength, anorexia, abnormal biochemistry (anemia or high c-reactive protein (> 5 mg/l)), fatigue, and low FFMI. Differential gene expression was assessed between cachectic and non-cachectic subjects, adjusting for age, sex, white blood cell counts, and technical covariates. Gene set enrichment analysis was performed using MSigDB. Results The prevalence of COPD cachexia was 13.7% in COPDGene and 7.9% in ECLIPSE. Fourteen genes were differentially downregulated in cachectic versus non-cachectic COPD patients in COPDGene (FDR

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is an umbrella term used to define a collection of inflammatory lung diseases that cause airflow obstruction and severe damage to the lung parenchyma. This study investigated the robustness of image-registration-based local biomechanical properties of the lung in individuals with COPD as a function of Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stage. Image registration was used to estimate the pointwise correspondences between the inspiration (total lung capacity) and expiration (residual volume) computed tomography (CT) images of the lung for each subject. In total, three biomechanical measures were computed from the correspondence map: the Jacobian determinant; the anisotropic deformation index (ADI); and the slab-rod index (SRI). CT scans from 245 subjects with varying GOLD stages were analyzed from the SubPopulations and InteRmediate Outcome Measures In COPD Study (SPIROMICS). Results show monotonic increasing or decreasing trends in the three biomechanical measures as a function of GOLD stage for the entire lung and on a lobe-by-lobe basis. Furthermore, these trends held across all five image registration algorithms. The consistency of the five image registration algorithms on a per individual basis is shown using Bland–Altman plots.

Abstract Background Pulmonary and systemic inflammation are central features of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Previous studies have demonstrated relationships between biologically active extracellular matrix components, or matrikines, and COPD pathogenesis. We studied the relationships between the matrikine acetyl-proline-glycine-proline (AcPGP) in sputum and plasma and clinical features of COPD. Methods Sputum and plasma samples were obtained from COPD participants in the SPIROMICS cohort at enrollment. AcPGP was isolated using solid phase extraction and measured by mass spectrometry. Demographics, spirometry, quality of life questionnaires, and quantitative computed tomography (CT) imaging with parametric response mapping (PRM) were obtained at baseline. Severe COPD exacerbations were recorded at 1-year of prospective follow-up. We used linear and logistic regression models to measure associations between AcPGP and features of COPD, and Kaplan-Meier analyses to measure time-to-first severe exacerbation. Results The 182 COPD participants in the analysis were 66 ± 8 years old, 62% male, 84% White race, and 39% were current smokers. AcPGP concentrations were 0.61 ± 1.89 ng/mL (mean ± SD) in sputum and 0.60 ± 1.13 ng/mL in plasma. In adjusted linear regression models, sputum AcPGP was associated with FEV1/FVC, spirometric GOLD stage, PRM-small airways disease, and PRM-emphysema. Sputum AcPGP also correlated with severe AECOPD, and elevated sputum AcPGP was associated with shorter time-to-first severe COPD exacerbation. In contrast, plasma AcPGP was not associated with symptoms, pulmonary function, or severe exacerbation risk. Conclusions In COPD, sputum but not plasma AcPGP concentrations are associated with the severity of airflow limitation, small airways disease, emphysema, and risk for severe AECOPD at 1-year of follow-up. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01969344 (SPIROMICS).

Abstract Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with a two-to-five fold increase in the risk of coronary artery disease independent of shared risk factors. This association is hypothesized to be mediated by systemic inflammation but this link has not been established. Methods We included 300 participants enrolled in the SPIROMICS cohort, 75 each of lifetime non-smokers, smokers without airflow obstruction, mild-moderate COPD, and severe-very severe COPD. We quantified emphysema and airway disease on computed tomography, characterized visual emphysema subtypes (centrilobular and paraseptal) and airway disease, and used the Weston visual score to quantify coronary artery calcification (CAC). We used the Sobel test to determine whether markers of systemic inflammation mediated a link between spirometric and radiographic features of COPD and CAC. Results FEV1/FVC but not quantitative emphysema or airway wall thickening was associated with CAC (p = 0.036), after adjustment for demographics, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, statin use, and CT scanner type. To explain this discordance, we examined visual subtypes of emphysema and airway disease, and found that centrilobular emphysema but not paraseptal emphysema or bronchial thickening was independently associated with CAC (p = 0.019). MMP3, VCAM1, CXCL5 and CXCL9 mediated 8, 8, 7 and 16% of the association between FEV1/FVC and CAC, respectively. Similar biomarkers partially mediated the association between centrilobular emphysema and CAC. Conclusions The association between airflow obstruction and coronary calcification is driven primarily by the centrilobular subtype of emphysema, and is linked through bioactive molecules implicated in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov: Identifier: NCT01969344.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a disease with marked metabolic disturbance. Previous studies have shown the association between single metabolites and lung function for COPD, but whether a combination of metabolites could predict phenotype is unknown. We developed metabolomic severity scores using plasma metabolomics from the Metabolon platform from two US cohorts of ever-smokers: the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS) (n = 648; training/testing cohort; 72% non-Hispanic, white; average age 63 years) and the COPDGene Study (n = 1120; validation cohort; 92% non-Hispanic, white; average age 67 years). Separate adaptive LASSO (adaLASSO) models were used to model forced expiratory volume at one second (FEV1) and MESA-adjusted lung density using 762 metabolites common between studies. Metabolite coefficients selected by the adaLASSO procedure were used to create a metabolomic severity score (metSS) for each outcome. A total of 132 metabolites were selected to create a metSS for FEV1. The metSS-only models explained 64.8% and 31.7% of the variability in FEV1 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. For MESA-adjusted lung density, 129 metabolites were selected, and metSS-only models explained 59.0% of the variability in the training cohort and 17.4% in the validation cohort. Regression models including both clinical covariates and the metSS explained more variability than either the clinical covariate or metSS-only models (53.4% vs. 46.4% and 31.6%) in the validation dataset. The metabolomic pathways for arginine biosynthesis; aminoacyl-tRNA biosynthesis; and glycine, serine, and threonine pathway were enriched by adaLASSO metabolites for FEV1. This is the first demonstration of a respiratory metabolomic severity score, which shows how a metSS can add explanation of variance to clinical predictors of FEV1 and MESA-adjusted lung density. The advantage of a comprehensive metSS is that it explains more disease than individual metabolites and can account for substantial collinearity among classes of metabolites. Future studies should be performed to determine whether metSSs are similar in younger, and more racially and ethnically diverse populations as well as whether a metabolomic severity score can predict disease development in individuals who do not yet have COPD.

Background Diminished peak lung function in young adulthood is a risk factor for future chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. The association between lung disease and cardiovascular disease later in life is well documented. Whether peak lung function measured in young adulthood is associated with risk of future cardiovascular events is unknown. Methods and Results CARDIA (The Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study is a prospective, multicenter, community‐based, longitudinal cohort study including 4761 participants aged 18 to 30 years with lung function testing we investigated the association between lung health in young adulthood and risk of subsequent cardiovascular events. We performed Cox proportional hazards regression to test the association between baseline and years 10 and 20 pulmonary function with incident cardiovascular events. Linear and logistic regression was performed to explore the associations of lung function with development of risk factors for cardiovascular disease as well as carotid intima‐media thickness and coronary artery calcified plaque. At baseline, mean age (±SD) was 24.9±3.6 years. Baseline forced expiratory volume in 1 second (hazard ratio) per −10‐unit decrement in percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.06–1.31 [P=0.002]) and FVC per −10‐unit decrement in percent predicted FVC (hazard ratio, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.06–1.33 [P=0.003]) were associated with future cardiovascular events independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Baseline lung function was associated with heart failure and cerebrovascular events but not coronary artery disease events. Conclusions Lung function in young adulthood is independently associated with cardiovascular events into middle age. This association appears to be driven by heart failure and cerebrovascular events rather than coronary heart disease. Clinical Trial Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00005130.

Low socioeconomic status has been associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) but little is known about its impact on disease progression. We assessed the association of income to symptoms, pulmonary disease severity and progression in smokers with and without COPD. The COPDGene cohort of 4826 smokers who reported annual income in phase 2 was analysed. Those who reported annual income