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As the national reference laboratory for febrile illness in Madagascar, we processed samples from the first epidemic wave of COVID-19, between March and September 2020. We fit generalized additive models to cycle threshold (Ct) value data from our RT-qPCR platform, demonstrating a peak in high viral load, low-Ct value infections temporally coincident with peak epidemic growth rates estimated in real time from publicly-reported incidence data and retrospectively from our own laboratory testing data across three administrative regions. We additionally demonstrate a statistically significant effect of duration of time since infection onset on Ct value, suggesting that Ct value can be used as a biomarker of the stage at which an individual is sampled in the course of an infection trajectory. As an extension, the population-level Ct distribution at a given timepoint can be used to estimate population-level epidemiological dynamics. We illustrate this concept by adopting a recently-developed, nested modeling approach, embedding a within-host viral kinetics model within a population-level Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) framework, to mechanistically estimate epidemic growth rates from cross-sectional Ct distributions across three regions in Madagascar. We find that Ct-derived epidemic growth estimates slightly precede those derived from incidence data across the first epidemic wave, suggesting delays in surveillance and case reporting. Our findings indicate that public reporting of Ct values could offer an important resource for epidemiological inference in low surveillance settings, enabling forecasts of impending incidence peaks in regions with limited case reporting.

Bats are natural reservoirs for bothAlpha- andBetacoronavirusesand the hypothesized original hosts of five of seven known zoonotic coronaviruses. To date, the vast majority of bat coronavirus research has been concentrated in Asia, though coronaviruses are globally distributed; indeed, SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2-relatedBetacoronavirusesin the subgenusSarbecovirushave been identified circulating inRhinolophidbats in both Africa and Europe, despite the relative dearth of surveillance in these regions. As part of a long-term study examining the dynamics of potentially zoonotic viruses in three species of endemic Madagascar fruit bat (Pteropus rufus, Eidolon dupreanum, Rousettus madagascariensis), we carried out metagenomic Next Generation Sequencing (mNGS) on urine, throat, and fecal samples obtained from wild-caught individuals. We report detection of RNA derived fromBetacoronavirussubgenusNobecovirusin fecal samples from all three species and describe full genome sequences of novelNobecovirusesinP. rufusandR. madagascariensis. Phylogenetic analysis indicates the existence of five distinctNobecovirusclades, one of which is defined by the highly divergent sequence reported here fromP. rufusbats. MadagascarNobecovirusesderived fromP. rufusandR. madagascariensisdemonstrate, respectively, Asian and African phylogeographic origins, mirroring those of their fruit bat hosts. Bootscan recombination analysis indicates significant selection has taken place in the spike, nucleocapsid, and NS7 accessory protein regions of the genome for viruses derived from both bat hosts. Madagascar offers a unique phylogeographic nexus of bats and viruses with both Asian and African phylogeographic origins, providing opportunities for unprecedented mixing of viral groups and, potentially, recombination. As fruit bats are handled and consumed widely across Madagascar for subsistence, understanding the landscape of potentially zoonotic coronavirus circulation is essential for mitigation of future zoonotic threats.

Bats are natural reservoirs for both

Author(s): Randremanana, Rindra Vatosoa; Andriamandimby, Soa-Fy; Rakotondramanga, Jean Marius; Razanajatovo, Norosoa Harline; Mangahasimbola, Reziky Tiandraza; Randriambolamanantsoa, Tsiry Hasina; Ranaivoson, Hafaliana Christian; Rabemananjara, Harinirina Aina; Razanajatovo, Iony; Razafindratsimandresy, Richter; Rabarison, Joelinotahiana Hasina; Brook, Cara E; Rakotomanana, Fanjasoa; Rabetombosoa, Roger Mario; Razafimanjato, Helisoa; Ahyong, Vida; Raharinosy, Vololoniaina; Raharimanga, Vaomalala; Raharinantoanina, Sandratana Jonhson; Randrianarisoa, Mirella Malala; Bernardson, Barivola; Randrianasolo, Laurence; Randriamampionona, Lea Bricette Nirina; Tato, Cristina M; DeRisi, Joseph L; Dussart, Philippe; Vololoniaina, Manuela Christophere; Randriatsarafara, Fidiniaina Mamy; Randriamanantany, Zely Arivelo; Heraud, Jean-Michel | Abstract: BackgroundFollowing the first detection of SARS-CoV-2 in passengers arriving from Europe on 19 March 2020, Madagascar took several mitigation measures to limit the spread of the virus in the country.MethodsNasopharyngeal and/or oropharyngeal swabs were collected from travellers to Madagascar, suspected SARS-CoV-2 cases and contact of confirmed cases. Swabs were tested at the national reference laboratory using real-time RT-PCR. Data collected from patients were entered in an electronic database for subsequent statistical analysis. All distribution of laboratory-confirmed cases were mapped, and six genomes of viruses were fully sequenced.ResultsOverall, 26,415 individuals were tested for SARS-CoV-2 between 18 March and 18 September 2020, of whom 21.0% (5,553/26,145) returned positive. Among laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2-positive patients, the median age was 39nyears (IQR: 28-52), and 56.6% (3,311/5,553) were asymptomatic at the time of sampling. The probability of testing positive increased with age with the highest adjusted odds ratio of 2.2 [95% CI: 1.9-2.5] for individuals aged 49nyears and more. Viral strains sequenced belong to clades 19A, 20A and 20B indicative of several independent introduction of viruses.ConclusionsOur study describes the first wave of the COVID-19 in Madagascar. Despite early strategies in place Madagascar could not avoid the introduction and spread of the virus. More studies are needed to estimate the true burden of disease and make public health recommendations for a better preparation to another wave.

International audience; Background: Respiratory syncytial virus is the main cause of acute respiratory infections leading to a considerable morbidity and mortality among under-5 years children. A comprehensive scheme of RSV virus evolution is of great value in implementing effective universal RSV vaccine. Objective: We investigated the clinical spectrum and molecular characteristics of detected RSV over a period of seven years (January 2011 to June 2017) in Antananarivo, the capital city of Madagascar. Study design: 671 nasopharyngeal samples taken from children aged less than 5 years suffered from ARI were screened for RSV by real-time PCR. Clinical data were retrieved from case report forms. Genotype identification was performed by reverse-transcription PCR and sequencing of the second hyper variable region (HVR2) of the G glycoprotein. Results: Amongst samples tested, 292 (43.5 %) were found positive for RSV. RSV A predominated during the study period which accounted for 62.3 % (182/292) of positive samples while RSV B represented 37.0 % (108/ 292). Phylogenetic analyses identified NA1 and ON1 genotypes among RSV A. Though NA1 widespread from 2011 to 2013, ON1 became prevalent during the following years. Among RSV B, THB, CB1 and BA9 genotypes were detected. A co-circulation of THB and CB1 strains occurred during the 2011 season that was substituted by the BA9 from 2012. Malagasy ON1 strains carried some characteristic amino acid substitutions that distinguish them from the worldwide ON1 strains. By analyzing clinical spectrum, ON1 and BA genotypes seemed to prevail in mild infections compared to NA1. Conclusion: Results obtained here will have its implication in predicting temporal evolution of RSV at the local level. Considering the insularity of the country, information obtained should help in comparative analysis with global RSV strains to optimize vaccine efficacy.

Background The increasing use of malaria diagnostic tests reveals a growing proportion of patients with fever but no malaria. Clinicians and health care workers in low-income countries have few tests to diagnose causes of fever other than malaria although several diseases share common symptoms. We propose here to assess etiologies of fever in Madagascar to ultimately improve management of febrile cases. Methodology Consenting febrile outpatients aged 6 months and older were recruited in 21 selected sentinel sites throughout Madagascar from April 2014 to September 2015. Standard clinical examinations were performed, and blood and upper respiratory specimens were taken for rapid diagnostic tests and molecular assays for 36 pathogens of interest for Madagascar in terms of public health, regardless of clinical status. Principal findings A total of 682 febrile patients were enrolled. We detected at least one pathogen in 40.5% (276/682) of patients and 6.2% (42/682) with co-infections. Among all tested patients, 26.5% (181/682) had at least one viral infection, 17.0% (116/682) had malaria and 1.0% (7/682) presented a bacterial or a mycobacterial infection. None or very few of the highly prevalent infectious agents in Eastern Africa and Asia were detected in this study, such as zoonotic bacteria or arboviral infections. Conclusions These results raise questions about etiologies of fever in Malagasy communities. Nevertheless, we noted that viral infections and malaria still represent a significant proportion of causes of febrile illnesses. Interestingly our study allowed the detection of pathogens of public health interest such as Rift Valley Fever Virus but also the first case of laboratory-confirmed leptospirosis infection in Madagascar., Author summary Febrile illnesses have many origins, but infectious agents are the most important cause. Pathogens such as viruses and bacteria can cause various diseases, but associated signs and symptoms are generally non-specific and can overlap between diseases. Treatments of infectious diseases rely on the diagnostic of the causative agent however laboratory capacities are often lacking in resources-limited settings. Thus, health care workers generally follow clinical management guidelines that are rarely supported by information on the prevalence of local infections. The main objective of our study was to describe the common causes of fever in individuals presenting at outpatient healthcare center in Madagascar. Respiratory viruses, malaria and viral infection in the blood were the main infectious agents detected. Implementation of new diagnostic tools such as bedside testing (Point of Care Testing) could help health care workers to improve diagnosis and care of febrile patients. Detection of other pathogens such as hepatitis B virus, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or agent responsible for tuberculosis enhances the need for extended prevention, surveillance and detection of these infections. Interestingly, our study reported cases of leptospirosis and Rift Valley Fever virus infection that are pathogens of high public health concern.