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Background Due to potentially fatal consequences of missed bacteremia, blood cultures are often overused. While there are several prediction models that can be used to identify patients who truly need blood cultures, physicians often rely on their gestalt. We evaluated the diagnostic performance of physician gestalt for bacteremia in comparison with 2 existing prediction models: Takeshima and Shapiro. Methods The study enrolled consecutive adult patients with suspected infection who were in the process of being admitted to the general medicine department at 2 hospitals between April 2017 and January 2019. Attending physicians provided gestalt regarding risk of bacteremia (0%–100%). Patients with a Results Among 2014 patients, 292 (14.5%) were diagnosed with bacteremia. The safety of physician gestalt and the Takeshima and Shapiro models was 3.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.2% to 5.7%), 6.5% (95% CI, 5.0% to 7.9%), and 10.8% (95% CI, 9.4% to 12.3%), whereas the efficiency of each strategy was 22.4% (95% CI, 22.5% to 26.3%), 52.7% (95% CI, 50.5% to 54.9%), and 87.8% (95% CI, 86.3% to 89.2%), respectively. Conclusions Physician gestalt was safer but less efficient than existing models. Clinical prediction models could help reduce the overuse of blood cultures.

To examine the association of low back pain (LBP) and lumbar kyphosis with functional disabilities and knee symptoms in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA).We analyzed 586 participants (80.1% female; mean ± SD age 68.8 ± 5.2 years) from the Nagahama Study who were age ≥60 years and had radiographically confirmed knee OA. The Knee Society Knee Scoring System (KSS) was used to assess functional disabilities and knee symptoms. LBP was defined as the presence of any persistent back pain for more than 3 months. Lumbar kyphosis was determined by skin-surface methods using a computer-aided electronic device called the Spinal Mouse. Multiple linear regression analysis was used for assessing the association of LBP and lumbar kyphosis with the KSS scores. Subgroup analyses based on sex were also performed.LBP and lumbar kyphosis were independently associated with a lower KSS function score after adjustment for covariates (mean difference -4.96 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) -7.56, -2.36] points for LBP alone, mean difference -4.47 [95% CI -8.51, -0.43] points for lumbar kyphosis alone, and mean difference -13.86 [95% CI -18.86, -8.86] points for the coexistence of LBP and lumbar kyphosis, respectively). The coexistence of LBP and lumbar kyphosis in women was associated with a lower KSS symptom score (mean difference -4.49 [95% CI -6.42, -2.55] points).These findings suggest that both LBP and lumbar kyphosis are useful clinical signals indicating functional disability and knee symptoms in patients with knee OA.

Background Chronic prostatitis (CP) can impair health-related quality of life (QOL), but the full impact of CP, including the impact of CP-like symptoms in men who have no CP diagnosis (CPS), is unknown. We estimated the impact of diagnosed CP (DCP) and CPS on Health-related QOL. Methods From a representative nationwide survey of men aged 20–84 in Japan, we determined the prevalence of DCP and also of CPS. For CPS, we used Nickel’s criteria, which were used previously to estimate the prevalence of CP and are based on the NIH Chronic Prostatitis Symptom Index. To test the robustness of Nickel’s criteria, we used two other definitions of CPS (two sensitivity analyses). We measured QOL with the Short-Form 12-Item Health Survey. We compared the participants’ QOL scores with the national-norm scores, and with the scores of men who had benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). Results Among the 5 010 participants, 1.4% had DCP and 3.7% had CPS. The sensitivity analyses resulted in CPS prevalence estimates of 3.1% and 4.5%. CPS was particularly common in younger participants (5.7% of those in their 30 s had CPS). QOL was very low among men with CP: In most areas (domains) of QOL, their scores were more than 0.5 standard deviation below the national-norm mean. Their mental-health scores were lower than those of men with BPH. The lowest scores among all 8 QOL domains were in role-functioning. Conclusions CP is common, but it is underdiagnosed, particularly in younger men. Whether diagnosed or only suspected, CP’s impact on QOL is large. Because CP is common, and because it substantially impairs individuals’ QOL and can also reduce societal productivity, it requires more attention. Specifically, needed now is a simple tool for urologists and for primary care providers, to identify men, particularly young men, whose QOL is impaired by CP.

PurposeGiven the growing diversity among cancer survivors and the fact that oncologists typically do not perform long-term care, the expected role of primary care physicians (PCPs) in cancer survivor care is expanding. However, communication and collaboration between oncologists and PCPs is lacking. Therefore, we assessed the perception of cancer survivor care among PCPs.MethodsWe surveyed 767 Japanese Board-certified PCPs, regardless of facility type (clinics and hospitals), inquiring about PCPs’ perceptions of their role in survivor care. Additionally, we included vignette-based scenarios focused on colorectal and prostate cancer survivors to explore factors associated with their clinical decisions. Results We obtained 91 replies (response rate: 11.9%). A total of 75% of PCPs had encountered at least 1 cancer patient in actual practice. Even for patients actively receiving cancer treatment, >70% of PCPs reported that they were willing to engage in all aspects of survivor care, except for the administration of anticancer drugs. Further, 49% of PCPs considered that both PCPs and oncologists were suited to performing regular screening for cancer recurrence in high-risk patients. Multivariable logistic regression analyses revealed that clinic PCPs were less inclined to conduct screening for recurrence than hospital PCPs in both colorectal (odds ratio, 3.85 [95% confidence interval 1.40-10.6]) and prostate cancer (4.36 [95% confidence interval 1.51-12.6]) scenarios.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that Japanese PCPs are willing to engage in survivor care and encourage closer collaboration between oncologists and PCPs. However, oncologists might need to request cooperation, considering the facility type with which PCPs are affiliated.

Although respiratory rate has been a sensitive predictor for prognosis in acute settings, resting respiratory rate (RRR) is undervalued in chronic care. The clinical significance of RRR among older people is not well documented.We investigated the association between RRR and all-cause mortality among older outpatients.A retrospective cohort study exhaustively included patients who had undergone medical checkups in a facility between April 2017 and March 2018 and followed up for at least 2 years. We excluded patients who were less than 60 years of age or had not undergone regular outpatient appointments. Sex, age, smoking habits, history of hospitalization, polypharmacy, long-term care insurance certification status, Mazzaglia index, pulse rate, systolic blood pressure, and Charlson Comorbidity Index were measured at the baseline medical checkup. Survival was confirmed by chart review and by contacting physicians in charge. The risk ratios were estimated by converting the odds ratios derived from the multivariable logistic regression models.Of the 853 patients who underwent baseline checkups, 749 were enrolled in the analyses; death occurred in 53 patients (7.1%), with no loss to follow-up. The RRR was independently associated with all-cause mortality after adjusting for covariates [adjusted risk ratio of RRR per 1 bpm = 1.14, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06 - 1.22].Given the independent association of RRR for existing predictors, this simple index seems worthy of consideration in further studies aimed at defining its predictive role in older people and in different settings.RRR was independently associated with all-cause mortality.

Introduction Helicobacter pylori eradication therapy requires a complex prescribing schedule combining clarithromycin, amoxicillin, and a proton-pump inhibitor (PPI) or potassium-competitive acid blocker (P-CAB, vonoprazan). To reduce the burden of complex prescribing and increase adherence, a vonoprazan triple-drug blister pack comprising all three medications was launched in June 2016. This study aimed to assess the impact of the combination blister pack on eradication success rate in Japan immediately after launch. Methods We performed an interrupted time series analysis using a large administrative claims database of 7,300,000 insured individuals. We identified 36,570 patients who received first-line clarithromycin triple therapy from June 2015 to May 2016 (prelaunch) and 35,721 who received the same therapy from July 2016 to June 2017 (post-launch). The primary outcome was the success rate of clarithromycin triple therapy and the secondary outcomes were proportion of vonoprazan use and proportion of combination blister pack use. Results The success rate of clarithromycin triple therapy increased by 2.44% (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.36–3.52; P

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that greater extracellular-to-intracellular water (ECW/ICW) ratios in lower-limb muscles are associated with worsened functional abilities in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: We analyzed data from 787 participants (82.2% female; mean age, 69.6 ± 5.3 years) from the Nagahama Prospective Cohort who were ≥60 years old and had radiographically confirmed bilateral knee OA. The Knee Scoring System (KSS) was used to assess functional abilities. Lower-limb ECW/ICW ratios and skeletal mass index values were determined with multi-frequency bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA). Multiple linear regression analysis was used to test for associations between ECW/ICW ratios and functional abilities. Subgroup analyses based on OA severities and symptomaticity were also conducted. RESULTS: Increased ECW/ICW ratios were associated with a 4.38-point decrease in the KSS function scores (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.15-5.62 points) after adjusting for covariates. This association varied according to the degree of knee symptoms, especially in individuals with radiologically mild OA. ECW/ICW ratios in individuals with asymptomatic mild OA were associated with a 2.14-point decrease in the KSS function score (95% CI, 0.32-3.96 points), whereas those in individuals with severe symptomatic mild OA were associated with a 6.16-point decrease (95% CI, 2.13-10.19 points). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that higher ECW/ICW ratios are associated with greater functional disability in patients with knee OA. Therefore, ECW/ICW ratio measurements with multi-frequency BIA can serve as valuable indicators for functional disability in patients with knee OA. Key Points • Higher extracellular-to-intracellular water (ECW/ICW) ratios are associated with greater functional disability levels in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA). • ECW/ICW ratios are useful clinical signs as a biomarker for poor functional abilities in patients with knee OA.

BACKGROUND: Whether the lower phase angle associated with worse physical function is a result of pain and muscle weakness in patients with lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between phase angle and back pain-specific disabilities in patients with LSS. METHODS: In this single-center, cross-sectional study, 491 participants with LSS were enrolled. The phase angle and back pain-specific disability were measured using bioelectrical impedance analysis and the Oswestry Disability Index, respectively. General linear models were used to examine associations between phase angle and the Oswestry Disability Index with or without adjustment for age, sex, low back and lower limb pain, numbness in the lower extremities, total fat mass, and lower limb muscle mass. RESULTS: The mean (SD) phase angle was 4.4∘ (1.0∘), and the mean Oswestry Disability Index was 36.1 (14.1) points. Greater phase angles were associated with less Oswestry Disability Index points (p= 0.037) independent of fat mass, low back pain, and hip or lower limb pain. CONCLUSIONS: A lower phase angle was associated with worse functional disability. Low phase angle may be an indicator of functional impairment due to low back pain associated with LSS.

Objectives Sustaining benefits of an exercise program is difficult as adherence is often poor after supervised intervention is over. This study aimed to determine whether the effects of active learning education on physical activity, dietary habits, and physical function were maintained 24 weeks after intervention termination in older adults. Design Non-randomized controlled trial. Setting and Participants Community-dwelling older adults aged ≥65 years who were independent in activities of daily living. Methods The intervention group (n = 36) underwent 24 weeks of active learning education. The control group (n = 59) attended a health education class didactically. In both groups, the education program focused on exercise, diet and nutrition, and cognitive activity for health promotion. Active learning included exploratory learning, group work, and self-planning for behavior change that promoted healthy lifestyles. Outcome measures were obtained at baseline (pre), 24 weeks (post), and 48 weeks (follow-up). Physical activity was objectively measured as physical activity level (PAL) using a triaxial accelerometer. Food intake was assessed by obtaining a dietary variety score. Physical function, including gait speed and Timed Up & Go score, was tested as secondary outcome. We used a linear mixed model to estimate the effects of intervention in intention-to-treat analyses. Results All outcomes in the intervention group significantly improved compared with the control group at 24 weeks, and the improvements were sustained over a 48-week follow-up period. For PAL, between-group difference in change from baseline was 0.043 (95% confidence interval = 0.007, 0.080) at 24 weeks and 0.061 (0.023, 0.099) at 48 weeks. Conclusions and Implications Active learning education is effective in enhancing healthy lifestyles and physical function sustainability beyond intervention cessation. A randomized controlled trial with a larger sample size is needed to conclusively clarify the beneficial effects of active health education learning on sustainable behavior change and functional improvement.

To test the hypothesis that greater extracellular-to-intracellular water (ECW/ICW) ratios in lower-limb muscles are associated with worsened functional abilities in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA). We analyzed data from 787 participants (82.2% female; mean age, 69.6 ± 5.3 years) from the Nagahama Prospective Cohort who were ≥60 years old and had radiographically confirmed bilateral knee OA. The Knee Scoring System (KSS) was used to assess functional abilities. Lower-limb ECW/ICW ratios and skeletal mass index values were determined with multi-frequency bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA). Multiple linear regression analysis was used to test for associations between ECW/ICW ratios and functional abilities. Subgroup analyses based on OA severities and symptomaticity were also conducted. Increased ECW/ICW ratios were associated with a 4.38-point decrease in the KSS function scores (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.15–5.62 points) after adjusting for covariates. This association varied according to the degree of knee symptoms, especially in individuals with radiologically mild OA. ECW/ICW ratios in individuals with asymptomatic mild OA were associated with a 2.14-point decrease in the KSS function score (95% CI, 0.32–3.96 points), whereas those in individuals with severe symptomatic mild OA were associated with a 6.16-point decrease (95% CI, 2.13–10.19 points). Our findings indicate that higher ECW/ICW ratios are associated with greater functional disability in patients with knee OA. Therefore, ECW/ICW ratio measurements with multi-frequency BIA can serve as valuable indicators for functional disability in patients with knee OA.

BackgroundData on the effects of intraoperative end-tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) levels on postoperative organ dysfunction are limited. Thus, this study was designed to investigate the relationship between the intraoperative EtCO2 level and postoperative organ dysfunction in patients who underwent major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study involving patients who underwent major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia at Kyoto University Hospital. We classified those with a mean EtCO2 of less than 35 mmHg as low EtCO2. The time effect was determined as the minutes when the EtCO2 value was below 35 mmHg, whereas the cumulative effect was evaluated by measuring the area below the 35-mmHg threshold. The outcome was postoperative organ dysfunction, defined as a composite of at least one organ dysfunction among acute renal injury, circulatory dysfunction, respiratory dysfunction, coagulation dysfunction, and liver dysfunction within 7 days after surgery.ResultsOf the 4,171 patients, 1,195 (28%) had low EtCO2, and 1,428 (34%) had postoperative organ dysfunction. An association was found between low EtCO2 and increased postoperative organ dysfunction (adjusted risk ratio, 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03–1.20; p = 0.006). Additionally, long-term exposure to EtCO2 values of less than 35 mmHg (≥224 min) was associated with postoperative organ dysfunction (adjusted risk ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.06–1.32; p = 0.003) and low EtCO2 severity (area under the threshold) (adjusted risk ratio, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02–1.26; p = 0.018).ConclusionsIntraoperative low EtCO2 of below 35 mmHg was associated with increased postoperative organ dysfunction.

Objectives:To assess the impact of nationwide outpatient antimicrobial stewardship interventions in the form of financial incentives for providers and provider education when antimicrobials are deemed unnecessary for uncomplicated respiratory infections and acute diarrhea.Methods:We collected data from a large claims database from April 2013 through March 2020 and performed a quasi-experimental, interrupted time-series analysis. The outcome of interest was oral antimicrobial prescription rate defined as the number of monthly antimicrobial prescriptions divided by the number of outpatient visits each month. We examined the effects of financial incentive to providers (ie, targeted prescriptions for those aged ≤2 years) and provider education (ie, targeted prescriptions for those aged ≥6 years) on the overall antimicrobial prescription rates and how these interventions affected different age groups before and after their implementation.Results:In total, 21,647,080 oral antimicrobials were prescribed to 2,920,381 unique outpatients during the study period. At baseline, prescription rates for all age groups followed a downward trend throughout the study period. Immediately after the financial incentive implementation, substantial reductions in prescription rates were observed among only those aged 0–2 years (−47.5 prescriptions per 1,000 clinic visits each month; 95% confidence interval, −77.3 to −17.6; P = .003), whereas provider education immediately reduced prescription rates in all age groups uniformly. These interventions did not affect the long-term trend for any age group.Conclusion:These results suggest that the nationwide implementation of financial incentives and provider education had an immediate effect on the antimicrobial prescription but no long-term effect.

Purpose With spinal deformities, mental health can deteriorate due to sagittal imbalance of the spine. The purpose of this study was to clarify the relationship between sagittal imbalance and symptoms of depression among local residents in the community. Methods This study used data from the Locomotive Syndrome and Health Outcomes in Aizu Cohort Study (LOHAS) in 2010. The sagittal vertical axis (SVA) was identified as an indicator of sagittal imbalance. Symptoms of depression were assessed using the 5-item version of the Mental Health Inventory. Participants were classified into three categories based on the SVA balance as normal ( 95 mm). To evaluate the relationship between sagittal imbalance of the spine and symptoms of depression, the adjusted risk ratio (RR) and the 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated using a generalized linear model with Poisson link. Results There were 786 participants included in the statistical analysis. Overall, the mean age was 68.1 y (standard deviation, 8.8 y), and 39.4% were men. The prevalence of symptoms of depression by SVA category was 18.6% for normal, 23.8% for moderate, and 40.6% for severe. On multivariate analysis, the RR of SVA for symptoms of depression compared to the normal category was 1.12 (95% CI 0.7–1.70) for the moderate category and 2.29 (95% CI 1.01–5.17) for the severe category. Conclusion In local community residents, sagittal imbalance had a significant association with symptoms of depression.

Objective In patients with kidney transplant (KT), frailty is a predictor of adverse outcomes. Outcomes of exercise therapy in patients with KT, particularly the efficacy of early exercise after KT, have not been evaluated. We investigated the effect of exercise intervention beginning early after KT on physical performance, physical activity, quality of life, and kidney function in patients with KT. Methods KT recipients who underwent surgery with usual care plus exercise training from a prospective cohort (exercise group; n = 10) and those with usual care alone from a historical cohort (control group; n = 14) were included in this study. Early exercise comprised supervised aerobic training and physical activity instruction from day 6 to 2 months after KT. The following outcomes were measured: 6-minute walking distance, isometric knee extensor strength, gait speed, physical activity, quality of life, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Results Analyses of covariance, adjusted for baseline values, revealed significant mean differences between exercise and control groups at 2 months after KT in 6-minute walking distance (+44.4 m, P = .03) and isometric knee extensor strength (+8.1%body weight, P = .03). No significant between-group differences were found in gait speed, physical activity, and quality of life. The analysis of variance for comparison of the area under the recovery curves of estimated glomerular filtration rate after KT revealed no significant difference between groups. Conclusion Supervised aerobic training and physical activity instruction initiated in the early phase after KT can improve physical performance without adversely affecting kidney function.

Background It has not been clarified whether physical frailty symptoms predict social. frailty. The purpose of this study was to elucidate the effect of physical frailty on social frailty, and to determine which domains of physical frailty predict the development of social frailty. Methods We employed a two-year prospective cohort study. A total of 342 socially robust community-dwelling older adults were recruited. We used a modified social frailty screening index consisting of four social domains including financial difficulties, living alone, social activity, and contact with neighbors. Physical frailty status was also assessed at baseline. At the two-year follow-up, we assessed the development of social frailty. Social status was assessed using four social subdomains for the primary analysis. Social status was assessed using the two social subdomains of social activity and contact with neighbors, which would be affected by the physical frailty component, for the secondary analysis. The risk ratios (RR) of physical frailty for the development of social frailty were estimated. Results Although physical frailty symptoms were not a significant risk factor for future development of social frailty as assessed by four social subdomains (adjusted RR 1.39, 95% CI 0.95–2.15), it became significant when development of social frailty was assessed by the two social subdomains (adjusted RR 1.78, 95% CI 1.10–2.88). An analysis using the physical frailty subdomain showed that slow gait speed (adjusted RR 3.41, 95% CI 1.10–10.53) and weakness (adjusted RR 1.06, 95% CI 1.01–1.12) were independent risk factors for development of social frailty as assessed by two social subdomains. Conclusions Physical frailty symptoms predict the development of social frailty. Among physical frailty subdomains, gait speed and muscle strength are critical independent risk factors for future decline in the social aspect. The prevention of physical frailty, especially by maintaining gait ability and muscle strength, may be effective for avoiding social frailty.

This study examined whether phase angle (PhA) is associated with hip osteoarthritis (HOA) severity and quadriceps strength in patients with HOA.A series of 549 patients with HOA, obtained from the Screening for People Suffering Sarcopenia in the Orthopedic cohort of Kobe study, were analyzed. PhA and quadriceps strength were measured using bioelectrical impedance analysis and a handheld dynamometer, respectively. The HOA severity was graded using the Kellgren-Lawrence radiographic scale. We estimated (1) mean differences in PhA by differences in HOA severity and (2) mean differences in quadriceps strength by differences in PhA using general linear models.The patients' mean age was 64.9 years, and 85% were women. A decreasing trend of PhA associated with increasing HOA severity was observed (P for trend0.001). PhA was statistically associated with a decrease in HOA grade 4 compared with that associated with HOA grade 1 (mean difference, - 0.40°; 95% confidence interval (CI), - 0.51° to - 0.30°). PhA per leg was associated with greater quadriceps strength per leg independent of age, sex, leg muscle mass, and HOA severity (mean difference per 1° increase, 3.80 Nm; 95% CI, 0.93 to 6.66). There was insufficient evidence of any difference in the association between PhA and quadriceps strength by HOA severity and sex (P for interaction = 0.07 and 0.06, respectively).PhA gradually decreased with increasing HOA severity, especially in patients with end-stage HOA. Paying close attention to PhA might provide a key to increasing quadriceps strength, regardless of HOA severity. Key Points • PhA gradually decreased with progression of HOA, particularly in patients with end-stage HOA. • PhA was positively associated with quadriceps strength, regardless of HOA severity. • PhA could be one of the indicators of quadriceps strength in patients with HOA.

Only a few studies have longitudinally evaluated whether fatty pancreas increases the risk of type-2 diabetes (T2D), and their results were inconsistent. Fatty pancreas is closely linked to overweight and obesity, but previous studies did not exclude overweight or obese individuals. Therefore, in this cohort study, we investigated the association between fatty pancreas and T2D incidence in lean individuals. Between 2008 and 2013, 1478 nondiabetic lean individuals (i.e. body-mass index

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to compare the recovery of mobility and self-efficacy following total knee arthroplasty (TKA) between the 5-day and the 28-day protocol. This prospective cohort study was carried out at two hospitals. Methods: In total, 104 patients who underwent TKA were enrolled. The primary outcomes measured were Life Space Assessment (LSA) for mobility and modified-Gait Efficacy Scale (mGES) for self-efficacy. Knee Society Score (KSS) was used to estimate the functional outcomes. These assessments were performed in all patients preoperatively, and at 1, 3, and 6 months postoperatively. After calculating the propensity score using covariates, such as patient characteristics, LSA, mGES, and KSS at baseline, propensity score-adjusted multivariate analysis of covariance (MANCOVA) was performed. Results: MANCOVA revealed significant differences in LSA and mGES, but not in KSS, between the two protocols. The adjusted means of LSA and mGES in the 28-day protocol were significantly greater than those in the 5-day protocol in all the postoperative assessments. Conclusion: Mobility and self-efficacy were greater following the 28-day protocol than the 5-day protocol after TKA. Our findings suggest that the modified treatment procedure for improving mobility and self-efficacy is necessary to introduce the early discharge protocol in Japan.

ObjectivesThis study aimed to investigate the association between kyphotic posture and future loss of independence (LOI) and mortality in community-dwelling older adults.DesignProspective cohort study.SettingTwo Japanese municipalities.ParticipantsWe enrolled 2193 independent community-dwelling older adults aged≥65 years at the time of their baseline health check-up in 2008. Kyphotic posture was evaluated using the wall-occiput test (WOT) and classified into three categories: non-kyphotic, mild (>0 and ≤4 cm) and severe (>4 cm).Primary and secondary outcome measuresThe primary outcome was mortality and the secondary outcomes were LOI (new long-term care insurance certification levels 1–5) and a composite of LOI and mortality. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the adjusted HRs (aHRs).ResultsOf the 2193 subjects enrolled, 1621 were included in the primary analysis. Among these, 272 (17%) and 202 (12%) were diagnosed with mild and severe kyphotic postures, respectively. The median follow-up time was 5.8 years. Compared with the non-kyphotic group, the aHRs for mortality were 1.17 (95% CI 0.70 to 1.96) and 1.99 (95% CI 1.20 to 3.30) in the mild and severe kyphotic posture groups, respectively. In the secondary analysis, a consistent association was observed for LOI (mild: aHR 1.70, 95% CI 1.13 to 2.55; severe: aHR 2.08, 95% CI 1.39 to 3.10) and the LOI-mortality composite (mild: aHR 1.27, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.79; severe: aHR 1.83, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.56).ConclusionKyphotic posture was associated with LOI and mortality in community-dwelling older adults. Identifying the population with kyphotic posture using the WOT might help improve community health.

Aims To develop and internally validate a preoperative clinical prediction model for acute adjacent vertebral fracture (AVF) after vertebral augmentation to support preoperative decision-making, named the after vertebral augmentation (AVA) score. Methods In this prognostic study, a multicentre, retrospective single-level vertebral augmentation cohort of 377 patients from six Japanese hospitals was used to derive an AVF prediction model. Backward stepwise selection (p < 0.05) was used to select preoperative clinical and imaging predictors for acute AVF after vertebral augmentation for up to one month, from 14 predictors. We assigned a score to each selected variable based on the regression coefficient and developed the AVA scoring system. We evaluated sensitivity and specificity for each cut-off, area under the curve (AUC), and calibration as diagnostic performance. Internal validation was conducted using bootstrapping to correct the optimism. Results Of the 377 patients used for model derivation, 58 (15%) had an acute AVF postoperatively. The following preoperative measures on multivariable analysis were summarized in the five-point AVA score: intravertebral instability (≥ 5 mm), focal kyphosis (≥ 10°), duration of symptoms (≥ 30 days), intravertebral cleft, and previous history of vertebral fracture. Internal validation showed a mean optimism of 0.019 with a corrected AUC of 0.77. A cut-off of ≤ one point was chosen to classify a low risk of AVF, for which only four of 137 patients (3%) had AVF with 92.5% sensitivity and 45.6% specificity. A cut-off of ≥ four points was chosen to classify a high risk of AVF, for which 22 of 38 (58%) had AVF with 41.5% sensitivity and 94.5% specificity. Conclusion In this study, the AVA score was found to be a simple preoperative method for the identification of patients at low and high risk of postoperative acute AVF. This model could be applied to individual patients and could aid in the decision-making before vertebral augmentation. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(1):97–102.

To examine the influence of obesity on quadriceps strength by separately analyzing body mass index (BMI) as fat mass and leg muscle mass in patients with knee osteoarthritis (KOA). The Screening for People Suffering Sarcopenia in Orthopedic cohort of Kobe (SPSS-OK) study was a single-center cross-sectional study that recruited 906 patients with KOA. Fat mass and leg muscle mass were measured by bio-impedance. Isometric knee extension torque (Nm) was measured as quadriceps strength. A series of general linear models were fitted to estimate the continuous associations of BMI and fat mass with quadriceps strength, with adjustment of confounders. In the fitted models, both BMI and fat mass were treated as restricted cubic spline functions. A continuous, non-linear relationship between BMI and quadriceps strength was found (P = 0.008 for non-linearity). In patients with a BMI of 16–25 kg/m2, increasing quadriceps strength was observed. However, in patients with a BMI of 25–40 kg/m2, quadriceps strength seemed similar. Additionally, an inverted U-shaped relationship between fat mass and quadriceps strength was demonstrated (P = 0.04 for non-linearity). In those with a fat mass of 10–20 kg, increasing quadriceps strength was seen. However, in patients with a fat mass of 20–30 kg, quadriceps strength showed a decreasing trend. Independent of fat mass, leg muscle mass was linearly associated with greater quadriceps strength. Our study suggests that there are independent associations between the leg muscle mass, fat mass, and quadriceps strength. It is difficult to easily predict quadriceps strength using only BMI. • An increase in body mass index (BMI) up to 25 kg/m 2 was associated with increasing quadriceps strength. • Quadriceps strength remained almost unchanged among patients with a BMI of > 25 kg/m 2 . • The association between fat mass and quadriceps strength had an inverted U-shaped relationship, suggesting the importance of the separate assessment of fat mass and muscle mass in patients with knee osteoarthritis, especially those who are overweight or obese.

Background/objective Reduction of muscle markers, such as creatine phosphokinase (CK), in rheumatic diseases and its association with reduced muscle mass may be of clinical importance in osteoarthritis (OA). Considering the complexity of secondary sarcopenia, clarifying the association between muscle markers and sarcopenia and disentangling the involvement of OA-related conditions are of clinical importance. We investigated the association between serum muscle biomarkers and sarcopenia among patients with OA, considering the presence of pain and inflammation. Methods Overall, 1425 patients with knee and hip OA scheduled for joint replacement surgery were included in a single-center cross-sectional study from Screening for People Suffering Sarcopenia in Orthopedic cohort of Kobe study. Primary outcome was sarcopenia defined by 2 criteria (the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia and the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People). Pain and inflammation were measured using the numeric rating scale and serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, respectively. Associations between the biomarkers (serum CK, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase) and sarcopenia were examined using logistic regression models. Results Sarcopenia by the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia criteria was present in 4.0% of patients. In adjusted analyses, sarcopenia was negatively associated with higher serum CK levels, but not with serum aspartate aminotransferase or alanine aminotransferase levels independent of pain score and serum CRP. Neither pain score nor serum CRP level was associated with sarcopenia. Similar results were found when the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People criteria were used. Conclusions Serum CK was associated with sarcopenia, suggesting the potential usefulness for sarcopenia detection regardless of pain or inflammation in OA.

To validate the SARC-F questionnaire for sarcopenia screening in musculoskeletal disease setting, and to assess improvements in diagnostic accuracy by adding “EBM” (elderly and body mass index information) to the SARC-F. Diagnostic accuracy study. The center involved in this study was located in an urban area of Kobe City, Japan. People with musculoskeletal disease in the knee, hip, or spine who were scheduled for surgical treatment were included. Sarcopenia was evaluated using the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) and the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP2), which included bioimpedance, handgrip strength, and gait speed. Patients answered the SARC-F questionnaire and their body mass index was measured. SARC-F and “EBM” information were combined into an original score. The sensitivities, specificities, and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were estimated and compared to identify sarcopenia. A total of 959 patients were included. Sarcopenia by AWGS criteria was identified in 36 (3.8%) patients. SARC-F had a sensitivity of 41.7% and specificity of 68.5%. SARC-F+EBM had a sensitivity of 77.8% and specificity of 69.6%, with substantial improvement in sensitivity (P

To investigate the association between occupational direct radiation exposure to the hands and longitudinal melanonychia (LM) and hand eczema in spine surgeons. A web-based questionnaire survey of the Society for Minimally Invasive Spinal Treatment (MIST) in Japan was conducted. The proportion of LM and hand eczema in hands with high and low-radiation exposure was compared using Fisher’s exact test. The odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the prevalence of LM and hand eczema in the high-radiation exposure hands were calculated using generalized estimating equations for logistic regression as control for the correlation of observations among the same individuals and possible confounders. Among 324 members of the society, responses were received from 229 members (70.7%). A total of 454 hands from 227 participants were analysed. The prevalence of LM and hand eczema was 43% and 29%, respectively. In a hand-by-hand comparison, more hands had LM in the high-radiation exposure group than the low-radiation exposure group (90 [40%] vs. 39 [17%], respectively, p

There is a paucity of data on the effect of intraoperative end-tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) levels on postoperative mortality. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between intraoperative EtCO2 and 90-day mortality in patients undergoing major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia. We conducted a historical cohort study of patients undergoing major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia at Kyoto University Hospital. We measured the intraoperative EtCO2, and patients with a mean EtCO2 value < 35 mm Hg were classified as low EtCO2. The time effect was determined based on minutes below an EtCO2 of 35 mm Hg, and cumulative effects were evaluated by measuring the area under the threshold of 35 mm Hg for each patient. Of 4,710 patients, 1,374 (29%) had low EtCO2 and 55 (1.2%) died within 90 days of surgery. Multivariable Cox regression analysis—adjusted for age, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification, sex, laparoscopic surgery, emergency surgery, blood loss, mean arterial pressure, duration of surgery, type of surgery, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease—revealed an association between low EtCO2 and 90-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2 to 3.8; P = 0.006). In addition, severity of low EtCO2 was associated with an increased 90-day mortality (area under the threshold; adjusted hazard ratio; 2.9, 95% CI, 1.2 to 7.4; P =0.02); for long-term exposure to an EtCO2 < 35 mm Hg (≥ 226 min), the adjusted hazard ratio for increased 90-day mortality was 2.3 (95% CI, 0.9 to 6.0; P = 0.08). A mean intraoperative EtCO2 < 35 mm Hg was associated with increased postoperative 90-day mortality.

Aim To investigate the longitudinal association between health literacy and frailty status at two-year follow-up in community-dwelling older adults. Methods A total of 218 older adults (mean age, 72.5±4.9 [range 65-86] years old; men, n=81) without frailty at baseline participated in this study. Functional health literacy was assessed using the Newest Vital Sign (NVS). Comprehensive health literacy was assessed using the 47-item European Health Literacy Survey Questionnaire (HLS-EU-Q47). Comprehensive health literacy indices are constructed as a general health literacy index comprising all items along with the three sub-indices of health care, disease prevention, and health promotion domains. Demographic data and other potential confounding factors were also assessed. The total Kihon checklist score was used to monitor the presence of frailty based on a score of ≥8 at the 2-year follow-up (postal survey). Results Of the 253 participants in the follow-up survey, 226 responded (response rate: 89.3%). Excluding the 8 participants with missing values, 25 (11.5%) of the 218 were reported to be frail. A multiple logistic regression analysis indicated that comprehensive health literacy (total score of HLS-EU-Q47) was independently associated with a lower risk of frailty (odds ratio per standard deviation = 0.54, 95% confidence interval = 0.33-0.87) after adjusting for the covariates (age, gender, education, body mass index, gait speed, cognitive function, and comorbidities). The health care and disease prevention domain scores of the HLS-EU-Q47 were also independently associated with a lower risk of frailty. Functional health literacy (NVS score) was not associated with frailty. Conclusions Older adults with higher comprehensive health literacy are less likely to be frail at two-year follow-up than those with a lower literacy.

We aimed to develop and validate a new simple decision support tool (U-TEST) for diagnosis of sarcopenia in orthopaedic patients. We created seventeen candidate original questions to detect sarcopenia in orthopaedic patients with sarcopenia through expert opinions and a semi-structured interview. To derive a decision support tool, a logistic regression model with backward elimination was applied to select variables from the seventeen questions, age and underweight (BMI < 18·5 kg/m2). Sarcopenia was defined by Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia 2019 criteria. After assigning a score to each selected variable, the sum of scores was calculated. We evaluated the diagnostic performance of the new tool using a logistic regression model. A bootstrap technique was used for internal validation. Among a total of 1334 orthopaedic patients, sixty-five (4·9 %) patients were diagnosed with sarcopenia. We succeeded in developing a ‘U-TEST’ with scores ranging from 0 to 11 consisting of values for BMI (Underweight), age (Elderly) and two original questions (‘I can’t stand up from a chair without supporting myself with my arms’ (Strength) and ‘I feel that my arms and legs are thinner than they were in the past’ (Thin)). The AUC was 0·77 (95 % CI 0·71, 0·83). With the optimal cut-off set at 3 or greater based on Youden’s index, the sensitivity and the specificity were 76·1 and 63·6 %, respectively. In orthopaedic patients, our U-TEST scoring with two questions and two simple clinical variables can help to screen for sarcopenia.

Study design This prospective cohort study analyzed data from the Locomotive Syndrome and Health Outcomes in the Aizu Cohort Study. Objective To investigate the association between lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) and severe disability and mortality among community-dwelling older adults. Summary of background data Only a few studies have investigated LSS longitudinally, and the study participants were limited to selected patients diagnosed with LSS during a hospital visit. Additionally, the prognosis of LSS remains unclear. Methods We enrolled independent community-dwelling older adults aged 65 years or older at the time of a baseline health checkup in 2008. LSS was diagnosed using a validated diagnostic support tool for LSS. The primary endpoint was a composite of severe disability (long-term care insurance certification grade 4 or 5) and mortality. We used 1 minus Kaplan-Meier failure estimates and the log-rank test to compare the interval between baseline and the predetermined endpoint as well as a Cox proportional hazards model to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the LSS group with adjustment for possible confounders. Multiple imputation by chained equations was performed for sensitivity analysis. Results Of 2058 subjects enrolled, 1560 did not have missing covariates; 269 (17%) were diagnosed with LSS. After a median follow-up of 5.8 years, the rates of severe disability and mortality were 0.022 per year in subjects with LSS and 0.012 per year in those without (P = 0.006). The adjusted HR for the composite endpoint in the LSS group was 1.55 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.38). A similar association was observed after multiple imputation of missing covariates (adjusted HR, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.06-2.16]). Conclusion LSS was associated with severe disability and mortality in community-dwelling older adults. Detection of adults with LSS in the community may contribute to local health promotion.Level of Evidence: 2.

Background Although polypharmacy is known to cause side effects due to drug-drug interactions, dermatological symptoms triggered by polypharmacy are not fully addressed. Objective To investigate whether polypharmacy is associated with the risk of pruritus METHOD: A cohort study was performed to examine cross-sectional and longitudinal relationships between polypharmacy and pruritus in a general population. Data were collected from the Norm Study conducted in 2016 and 2017, which is a nationwide survey based on a self-administered questionnaire with Japanese representative participants aged 16-84 years. Presence of polypharmacy which was defined as concurrent use of ≥5 prescribed drugs. Primary outcomes were the presence of severe pruritus at baseline for the cross-sectional analysis and the development of severe pruritus after one year for the longitudinal analysis. Multivariable modified Poisson regression analyses were performed to estimate risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) with adjustment for potential confounders (age, gender, smoking habits, drinking habits, depressive symptoms, moderate activities based on IPAQ score, and presence of 11 comorbid conditions including skin disease). Results The study included 3,126 participants (mean age, 48.7 years); nearly half (49.8%) were male. In all, 332 participants (10.3%) had polypharmacy in the cross-sectional analysis. Participants with polypharmacy were more likely to present with severe pruritus at baseline than those who were not using drugs (adjusted RR = 1.52 [95%CI 1.15-2.01, P = 0.003]). The longitudinal analysis (n = 1,803) was limited to those without severe pruritus at baseline; participants with polypharmacy at baseline were more likely to develop severe pruritus after a one-year follow-up period than those not using drugs (adjusted RR = 1.46 [95%CI 1.14-1.87, P = 0.002]). Conclusion Polypharmacy was associated with the presence of pruritus at baseline and may predict the future risk of developing pruritus.

Objectives: The Short Form 12 Survey (SF-12) three-component model is used to compute health-related quality of life (QoL): it includes physical, mental, and role-social QoL. We asked whether the SF-12 three-component model is associated with disability-free survival. Methods: People ≥65 years old were included ( n = 2634). SF-12 scores were assessed at baseline. The outcome was a composite of loss of independence (LoI) and death. LoI was defined using Japan’s long-term care insurance categories. Hazard ratios (HRs) for LoI or death were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Better physical QoL was inversely associated with LoI or death (adjusted HR per 10-point increase: .88 [95% CI: .81–.96]), but mental QoL was not. Better role-social QoL was inversely associated with LoI or death only among participants with higher than average physical QoL (adjusted HR per 10-point increase: .79 [95% CI: .65–.96], p for interaction = .04). Discussion: Physical QoL was associated with disability-free survival, and role-social QoL was associated with disability-free survival among those with better physical QoL.

Objectives To investigate the longitudinal association of urgency urinary incontinence (UUI) with loss of independence (LOI) or death among independent community-dwelling older adults. Design Population-based cohort study. Setting The Locomotive Syndrome and Health Outcome in Aizu Cohort Study (LOHAS), Minami-Aizu Town and Tadami Town, Fukushima, Japan. Participants A total of 1,580 participants aged ≥65 years who underwent a health check-up conducted by LOHAS in 2010. Measurements Exposure was defined as the presence of UUI, which was measured by a questionnaire based on the definition of UUI from the International Continence Society. The primary outcome was defined as incidence of LOI or death. After the check-up in 2010, the outcome was monitored until March 2014. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to estimate the hazard ratio for the outcome. Ten potential confounders were adjusted in the analysis. Furthermore, we defined the secondary outcomes as two separate outcomes, LOI and death, and performed the same analysis. Results Among all participants, 328 reported UUI. The incidence rates of the outcome were 20.4 and 11.4 (per 1,000 person–years) among participants with and without UUI, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, those who experienced UUI showed a substantial association with LOI or death (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.01–2.68). However, they did not show such an association with LOI alone (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.49–2.33). On the other hand, those with UUI exhibited a substantial association with death (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.22–4.31). Conclusions In this study, UUI was associated with the occurrence of LOI or death; however, UUI is not associated with the occurrence of LOI alone among independent community-dwelling older adults. Our results suggest that there may be a difference between UUI-associated diseases that cause LOI and those that cause death.

Background Among aging hemodialysis patients, loss of physical function has become a major issue. We developed and validated a model of predicting loss of physical function among elderly hemodialysis patients. Methods We conducted a cohort study involving maintenance hemodialysis patients ≥65 years of age from the Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Pattern Study in Japan. The derivation cohort included 593 early phase (1996–2004) patients and the temporal validation cohort included 447 late-phase (2005–12) patients. The main outcome was the incidence of loss of physical function, defined as the 12-item Short Form Health Survey physical function score decreasing to 0 within a year. Using backward stepwise logistic regression by Akaike’s Information Criteria, six predictors (age, gender, dementia, mental health, moderate activity and ascending stairs) were selected for the final model. Points were assigned based on the regression coefficients and the total score was calculated by summing the points for each predictor. Results In total, 65 (11.0%) and 53 (11.9%) hemodialysis patients lost their physical function within 1 year in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. This model has good predictive performance quantified by both discrimination and calibration. The proportion of the loss of physical function increased sequentially through low-, middle-, and high-score categories based on the model (2.5%, 11.7% and 22.3% in the validation cohort, respectively). The loss of physical function was strongly associated with 1-year mortality [adjusted odds ratio 2.48 (95% confidence interval 1.26–4.91)]. Conclusions We developed and validated a risk prediction model with good predictive performance for loss of physical function in elderly hemodialysis patients. Our simple prediction model may help physicians and patients make more informed decisions for healthy longevity.

Objective:We examined the longitudinal association between the severity of fatigue and falls in community-dwelling older adults. Method: Subjective fatigue was assessed using the Short Form 36 Health Survey (SF-36) Vitality subscale and classified into four categories by quartile (mildest, mild, moderate, severe). The main outcome was the incidence of any falls during the 2-year follow-up period. Results: Of the 751 participants, 236 (31.4%) experienced falls during the 2-year period. In multivariable logistic regression analysis with adjustment for possible confounding factors, the adjusted odds ratios (and 95% confidence intervals) for mild, moderate, and severe categories (vs. mildest category) of 1.60 (0.94-2.75), 1.87 (1.12-3.11), and 2.15 (1.23-3.76), respectively ( p for trend = .007). Discussion: Our results suggest that the severity of fatigue is associated with the risk of subsequent falls for community-dwelling older adults even after adjustment for possible confounding factors.