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Purpose – The aim of the paper is to investigate Goodwin’s growth cycle in the Indian organised manufacturing industries. Design/methodology/approach – The methodology is based on bi-variate differential equation, econometrics model like log-linear regression and Autoregressive Distributed Lag model. An empirical investigation is conducted on data from the Annual Survey of Industries from 1980 to 2018 time period. Findings – The results indicate that though the original Goodwin model estimates deviated from data estimates, its modified (neo-Goodwin) model are found to be equivalent to the data estimates. Moreover, in contrast to the original model, the capital accumulation rate (investment to profit ratio) is not assumed to be unitary in the modified Goodwin model. Furthermore, the labour market-led and cost effect conditions of the Goodwin cycle are empirically verified by investigating the interdependency between employment rate and wage share. Lastly, the short- and long-run Goodwin cycles are observed to be moving in anti-clockwise direction in the employment rate and wage share bi-dimensional plane, thus confirming the existence of profit-led distribution where wage share continuously reducing with high employment. Research limitations/implications – This study opens the discussion on application of capitalistic model in the emerging economy and also suggests to incorporate some theoretical models like Kaldorian, Keynesian, Kaleckian or Schumpetrian into the Goodwin cycle. Originality/value – This is the first paper which empirically examines the capitalistic nature of Indian organised manufacturing industries through the lens of Goodwin growth cycle and then extend it to the Neo-Goodwin model by relaxing one of the unrealistic assumption regarding unitary investment to profit ratio.

We estimate a modified demand‐and‐distribution system for the 48 contiguous US states and the District of Columbia (DC) employing dynamic spatial panel data for 1980–2019. We allow for endogenous regressors, test for the presence, significance, and magnitude of spatial spillovers, and estimate immediate and cumulative effects on our endogenous variables of interest. Without testing for spatial dependence and spillovers, we estimate that output growth and capacity utilization in the sample US states and DC rise in response to an increase in their own wage share. When we test for spatial dependence and spillovers as required by the state‐level nature of the data, and consider that the functional distribution of income and the level of economic activity are jointly determined, we estimate that a higher state wage share raises output growth in the own state and the neighboring states. Yet the effect of a change in the state wage share on capacity utilization in the own state and the neighboring states is not statistically significant. Meanwhile, a higher state output growth raises the wage share in the own state, but its impact on the wage share in the neighboring states is not statistically significant. A higher state capacity utilization raises the wage share in the own state, yet it reduces the wage share in the neighboring states. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Since the beginning of the 1980s, reforms of the labour market have been at the centre of political and economic debate in the European Union. While these reforms were implemented mainly with the aim of improving employment performance by removing structural issues, they may also have had non-secondary and non-negligible effects on the share of national income received by workers. The aim of this paper is to study the effects of the changes in the labour market regulation index (LMRI) on the wage share in twelve Eurozone countries between 2000 and 2019. The empirical results — obtained from the estimation of an error correction model (ECM) — show that: (i) an inverse relation exists between LMRI as a whole and adjusted wage share in the short run only; (ii) the reduction of the adjusted wage share depends mainly on two specific measures of flexibility: a more decentralized level of bargaining (the effects of which are significant in both long- and short-run periods) and a relaxation of the hiring and firing regulations (the effects of which are significant only in the short run); (iii) the economic growth and unemployment rate also contribute to the decline of the adjusted wage share. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Identifies factors affecting the workers' bargaining power. • Builds a composite index for the United States using the principal component analysis. • Analyses the relationship between this index and the wage share in the years 1960–2018. • Discusses the link between the workers' bargaining power and inflation. • Estimates the Phillips curve and explains why it has flattened over the last decades. This paper aims to construct a synthetic index of workers' bargaining power and investigate the relationship between it and inflation in the U.S. economy. As a first step, we identify the factors affecting the bargaining power of workers, referring to different groups of variables: labour market indicators; institutional indicators (e.g., collective bargaining coverage, union density); characteristics of the economy (e.g., degree of freedom for capital mobility, share of employment by sector). We then implement Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to assess the adequacy of the indicators and calculate the weights to aggregate the single indicators into a composite index. As a second step, we estimate the impact of our Bargaining Index on inflation by estimating an equation of the determinants of inflation. The composite index thus has a twofold use: it sheds light on the extent to which changes in the labour market in recent decades have weakened workers' bargaining power, and it can be used to test how the evolution of the wage bargaining system affects inflation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Since the 1980s, most advanced economies have massively 'flexibilized' their labour markets by reducing the protection against layoffs and introducing temporary and flexible contracts. Concurrently, a well-established economic stylized fact – the stability of the wage share of income – has been challenged as empirical evidence reveals a substantial decline in labour share across numerous countries. In this study, we aim to empirically investigate the causal link between these two phenomena by examining the impact of changes in the regulation of fixed-term contracts, as measured by variation over time in the temporary contracts EPL index, on the functional distribution of income. We employ Jordà's local projection method for a panel of 18 advanced countries over the period 1985–2019 and show that reforms that deregulate fixed-term contracts consistently reduce the wage share. • The wage share has declined in many countries in recent decades. • The study investigates the impact of fixed-term contract protection reforms on functional income distribution. • Local projections are applied to EPL variations for a sample of 18 advanced economies over the period 1985–2019. • A nonlinear analysis is conducted to explore the effects of flexibilization and tightening reforms. • The results indicate that deregulating fixed-term contracts leads to a significant reduction in the wage share. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The early stages of recovery from the recession induced by the COVID-19 pandemic were accompanied by a marked increase in inflation in the US and elsewhere. Much has been made of this outcome, and the economic distress associated with it, in popular discussion of the economy. This paper provides a Kaleckian conflicting-claims analysis of inflation during the post-COVID recovery, that distinguishes between rising wages, pandemic-related supply shocks, and corporate price-setting behavior as sources of inflationary pressure. A key conclusion that arises from the co-determination of inflation and distributional outcomes in the Kaleckian framework is that distributional developments that have further disadvantaged working households, rather than inflation per se, are the chief source of recent economic distress – and should be the chief cause for concern among policy makers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Investigación Económica is the property of Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Facultad de Economia and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

We develop a medium‐run dynamic model to investigate the effects of financial factors and production technique on a capitalist economy. We incorporate neoclassical elements and contributions of Keynes, Kalecki, and Minsky into the model. We formulate a price decision and endogenous money supply mechanism. The medium‐run steady state is constrained by the normal capacity utilization rate. Moreover, the economy can become endogenously unstable if bank lending reacts excessively to the firm's profit rate. In a stable economy, an increase in the target‐inflation rate increases the expected inflation rate and interbank rate but does not affect the optimal labor‐capital ratio. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this article, we explore the causal relationship between wage share and economic growth for 11 Eastern European countries. The methodology used was wavelet coherency for the period between 1995Q1 and 2020Q4. Our results reveal that economic growth acts as the leading role for wage share increase for most Eastern European countries, and only for certain periods, wages can determine economic growth. Furthermore, we find that GDP increases cause wages to increase at different frequencies; there is a positive correlation between GDP growth and wage growth; the effects of wage-led growth policies were weak and only on short periods. Our estimations cast a high degree of uncertainty on the effectiveness of wage increase policies promoted by some national authorities to achieve economic growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper investigates sectoral contributions to the trend of national wage share, or the labor income share, during 2000–2014 in China. I apply the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) decomposition, the method widely used in energy studies, to decompose the trend of the wage share. At a sectoral level, with rapid structural transformation, structural change negatively impacted the wage share through the between-sector effect – the structural and price effects – mainly from agriculture. This result confirms Arthur Lewis's hypothesis that structural transformation has a negative contribution to the wage share. At a national level, when the wage share declined before 2008, the between-sector effect was as significant as the within-sector effect – the wage and productivity effects. After 2008, the within-sector effect directed the increasing wage share trend. This implies that although structural transformation matters to the wage share in a large developing country like China, a wage-productivity nexus has been more influential and determined the increasing trend of the wage share since 2008. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• We test for Granger causality in mean and quantiles between wage share and capacity utilization in developed countries. • We employ confidence intervals generated by bootstrap and the Wald test for joint significance. • Capacity utilization positively Granger causes the wage share in eight countries at the center, lower and upper tails. • The positive Granger causal effect of capacity utilization is strong, heterogeneous, and larger for extreme quantiles. • The wage share negatively Granger causes capacity utilization in all quantiles in Spain and above the median in Italy. This paper tests for Granger causality in quantiles between the wage share and capacity utilization in twelve developed countries using annual data ranging from 1960 to 2019. Instead of focusing only on the conditional mean, we test for Granger causality in the entire conditional distribution of the variables of interest. This method detects Granger causal dynamic relations in both the mean and the whole conditional distribution using bootstrap confidence intervals and the Wald test. Our results indicate that capacity utilization positively affects the wage share in eight out of the twelve sample countries. This Granger causal effect is strong and heterogeneous across quantiles, being larger for more extreme quantiles. Capacity utilization positively Granger causes the wage share in all conditional quantiles in the U.S., Sweden, and Italy. Meanwhile, the wage share negatively Granger causes capacity utilization in all conditional quantiles in Spain and in some quantiles above the median in Italy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose ― The paper investigated the effect of the interaction of fiscal deficits and total factor productivity (TFP) and fiscal deficits and the wage share on unemployment. Methods ― The paper applied an autoregressive distributed lag model to South African annual data from 1991-2019. Findings ― First, increases in fiscal deficits increase unemployment at all levels of TFP and wage share. Second, increases in TFP increase unemployment at different levels of fiscal deficit, but after the global economic recession, the rate of increase in unemployment declined significantly. This means that the interaction of rising TFP and fiscal deficits in South Africa, where the growth regime is profit-led and technology-driven, always results in increasing unemployment. Third, as the wage share increases, unemployment increases, at all levels of fiscal deficits, suggesting that a wage-led growth regime is no panacea to unemployment either. Implications ― The findings imply that expansionary fiscal policy does not necessarily create an economy that works for all unless active labour market institutions are set up. The findings challenge the notion that the solution to unemployment in South Africa is wage flexibility. Neither do the findings support the idea that following a profit-led growth path is a solution. A balanced mix of the two growth regimes would work. Originality ― Studies have considered the productivity-enhancing effects of structural fiscal policy, but they have not considered the possible effects of interactions between productivity, fiscal policy and wage shares. The paper addresses the gap by introducing the interactions of TFP and fiscal deficits, as well as the interaction of wage share and fiscal deficits.

Copyright of Nova Economia is the property of Nova Economia and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Purpose ― The paper investigated the effect of the interaction of fiscal deficits and total factor productivity (TFP) and fiscal deficits and the wage share on unemployment. Methods ― The paper applied an autoregressive distributed lag model to South African annual data from 1991-2019. Findings ― First, increases in fiscal deficits increase unemployment at all levels of TFP and wage share. Second, increases in TFP increase unemployment at different levels of fiscal deficit, but after the global economic recession, the rate of increase in unemployment declined significantly. This means that the interaction of rising TFP and fiscal deficits in South Africa, where the growth regime is profit-led and technology-driven, always results in increasing unemployment. Third, as the wage share increases, unemployment increases, at all levels of fiscal deficits, suggesting that a wage-led growth regime is no panacea to unemployment either. Implications ― The findings imply that expansionary fiscal policy does not necessarily create an economy that works for all unless active labour market institutions are set up. The findings challenge the notion that the solution to unemployment in South Africa is wage flexibility. Neither do the findings support the idea that following a profit-led growth path is a solution. A balanced mix of the two growth regimes would work. Originality ― Studies have considered the productivity-enhancing effects of structural fiscal policy, but they have not considered the possible effects of interactions between productivity, fiscal policy and wage shares. The paper addresses the gap by introducing the interactions of TFP and fiscal deficits, as well as the interaction of wage share and fiscal deficits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We argue that in the US there is a causal relationship running unidirectionally from negative shocks in capital productivity to negative variations in the wage share. We sustain that, faced with a capital productivity decrease, the US firm sector pushes wages down to maximize the rate of profit. Through asymmetric SVAR techniques that are robust to endogeneity and structural breaks; we show that decreases in capital productivity unidirectionally cause decreases in the wage share. We offer some possible explanations for that. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• We explore (a) the determinants of the profit rate in the context of the Marxian tradition and (b) by using a probabilistic framework of analysis, we investigate the factors associated with the occurrences of UK recessions. • We adopt an autoregressive distributed lagged (ARDL) model approach and a probabilistic framework in the context of the UK economy using quarterly data over the period 1985–2019. • We find that the wage share of income is inversely related to the profit rate whilst the capacity utilization, the capacity-to-capital ratio and the monetary expression of labour time have all a positive impact on the profit rate. • The probability of a recession is found to decrease with higher profitability, whilst at the same time the wage-led hypothesis is also supported. In this study, by utilizing quarterly data for the UK economy over the period 1985Q1 to 2019Q4, we explore (a) the determinants of the profit rate in the context of the Marxian tradition and (b) by using a probabilistic framework of analysis, we investigate the factors associated with the occurrences of UK recessions. The evidence indicates that the wage share of income is inversely related to the profit rate whilst the capacity utilization, the capacity-to-capital ratio and the monetary expression of labour time have all a positive impact on the profit rate. Additional evidence suggests that the probability of a recession decreases with higher profitability, whilst at the same time the wage-led hypothesis is also supported. Finally, the impact of interest rates on the likelihood of UK's economic recessions is found to be insignificant. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The paper investigates the demand regime of the Greek economy for the period 1980-2019, using a Bhaduri and Marglin (1990) macroeconomic demand-led model and applying the methodological approach developed by Stockhammer, Onaran, and Ederer (2009). We estimate the model using the single-equations approach, and each individual equation of the demand components is estimated according to econometric criteria in first differences (consumption, net exports) and by applying the ARDL method (investment). We also include financial variables such as private borrowing and the corresponding interest rates. We find that the Greek economy is characterized by a wage-led demand regime, and that the effect of private borrowing on consumption and investment is quite low. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article examines the effect of structural heterogeneity on income distribution and presents the evolution of the wage share in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Gross Value of Production (GVP) for the period 1950-2017. The article calculates and analyzes intersectoral differences in labor productivity and wages in various sectors of the Peruvian economy. Based on an input-output (IO) model for 14 economic activities, projections of final demand for 2018-2030, and trends in the production structure and primary input matrix, this article concludes that, in various scenarios, the wage share in the GVP will present a downward trend between 2018 and 2030. Both the analysis of structural heterogeneity and the results of the simulations demonstrate the importance of productive structure when seeking to understand severe inequality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of the paper is to estimate the effects of increasing debt burden on the wage share of national income in the eurozone from 1999 to 2019 in an attempt to verify, through a dynamic panel data cointegrating technique, whether an increase in debt implies a redistribution of resources from workers to non-wage incomes. To deepen this analysis, the empirical investigation also distinguishes between change in primary public balance and interest payments to evaluate separately the effects of the two components of public debt on wages. The outcomes are consistent with a negative relationship between public debt as a whole and the wage share. However, when accounting for the two debt components, opposite results are registered as the debt service is negatively connected, while change in primary public deficit is positively connected with the wage share of national GDP. These results allow reflecting on the interaction between the monetary policy strategy and the national fiscal policies in the eurozone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper characterises the conventional and the digital sector of the EU economy since the late 90s and introduces a two sector growth model which highlights structural differences between the two sectors. In contrast to conventional goods and services, digital goods and services are more easily scalable but require more upfront intangible investment. These features require consideration of fixed costs and a departure from perfect competition and raise issues about market entry. Another important dimension is the skill demand of both sectors, with the latter requiring a larger share of workers with digital skills. Since COVID-19 is expected to induce a persistent increase of demand for digital services, we use this model to estimate the likely economic impacts. We are in particular interested how the digital transition is affecting the labour market and the functional distribution of income. The paper shows how the distribution of economic rents between workers with digital skills and platforms is determined by labour supply conditions and entry barriers. This suggests that there is a role for competition policy and labour market policies to support the digital transition. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• We examine the relationship between unemployment and the dynamics of the adjusted wage share in the private sector of the economy. • We extend Shaikh's analysis to eight mature economies in addition to the US. • We provide empirical evidence on the role of labour market slack in the process of labour share erosion. • We do not find trace of a long-run tendency of the economy to return to a 'normal' or 'equilibrium' unemployment rate. After the 1980s, advanced capitalist economies witnessed a significant decline of the wage share in income. Along with the conventional view, which ascribes this decline to technological factors and international trade, another line of enquiry has endorsed a 'political economy' approach and identified several drivers of the wage share erosion. Yet, the role of persistent changes in unemployment has remained relatively unexplored. We try to fill this gap moving from a recent contribution by Anwar Shaikh, who analyzed the relation between unemployment and changes in income distribution in the US economy. We study this relationship by adopting a long-term approach, and two alternative measures of labor market slack. We extend Shaikh's method of analysis to eight mature economies, and we carry out the analysis using further econometric techniques. Results generally confirm the adverse impact of unemployment on the labor share, while do not support the notion of equilibrium unemployment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Greater trade integration, convergence in economic performance and a high level of employment among member states: this was why the Euro Area was created. In this respect, the paper analyses the sources of trade imbalances within the Euro Area, focusing on the direct trade relationship—intra-EA trade—between surplus and deficit countries. The econometric evidence based on a VAR/SVAR methodology suggests that asymmetric wage shocks determine asymmetric gains from intra-EA trade, resulting from opposing growth strategies. In addition, the empirical evidence shows that the Euro Area is divided into two economic regions representing different demand regimes: a northern region, which is profit-led and a southern region, which is wage-led. The paper suggests that wage coordination is an essential macroeconomic tool but is insufficient to achieve trade and economic integration given the current state of divergence. Thus, a trade-based transfer mechanism is proposed to restore convergence in the Euro Area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• We carry out an ex-post evaluation of the internal devaluation policy in correcting the external deficit in Spain. • Our analysis incorporates the effects derived from both changes in external competitiveness as well as those derived from changes in the functional distribution of income. • The internal devaluation strategy contributed to the Spanish external readjustment mainly through the decrease in domestic demand and imports, as a consequence of the wage share fall, rather than through enhanced price-competitiveness. • Through the estimation of an extended version of the Bhaduri-Marglin model for the Spanish economy, we find that the internal devaluation explains 33% of the total external sector correction, 98% of which can be attributed to the demand effect. This paper carries out an ex-post evaluation of the internal devaluation policy in correcting external deficits. We examine to what extent and through which mechanisms the internal devaluation strategy implemented after 2010 is responsible for the readjustment in net exports in the case of Spain. Our analysis incorporates the effects linked to changes in external competitiveness and domestic prices and those associated with changes in income distribution. The main way in which internal devaluation contributed to external readjustment was through a decrease in domestic demand and imports rather than through enhanced external competitiveness. These demand effects derived from the distributive impact of changes in unit labor costs, which reduced the Spanish wage share during this period. According to our estimates, internal devaluation explains 33% of total external sector readjustment over the 2010-2018 period, 98% of which is driven by the demand effect, with the remaining 2% resulting from price effects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Macroeconomic dynamics of labour income share (will be referred to herein as lis) in the United States for the period of 1948Q1-2019Q1 are tried to be determined in this study, where Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (will be referred to herein as MARS) approach is employed. In order to investigate sectoral differences, the business, non-farm, and non-finance sectors are evaluated, respectively. In accordance with the obtained results, it may be observed that the macroeconomic dynamics of lis in the business sector are productivity, export, profit, gross private domestic investment, unemployment rate, current account balance, gross domestic product, and tax revenue, respectively. Related macroeconomic dynamics of lis concerning non-farm sector are productivity, current account balance, gross private domestic investment, export, consumer price index, gross domestic product, profit, unemployment rate, and gross government investment. Aforementioned dynamics for nonfinance sector are also profit, productivity, import, gross domestic product, tax revenue, gross government investment, consumer price index, and unemployment rate. In accordance with this, the most significant dynamic with respect to lis is profit in the non-finance sector, while it is productivity in the business and non-farm sectors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This investigation explores the long-run relationship between the wage share in the non-construction private sector and government efforts to create jobs in public services and construction of infrastructure and houses, in Sweden in 1900 to 2016. In the present article, it is argued that the creation of employment with generous wages by the Swedish government has increased the bargaining power of workers outside of these sectors, thus raising the wage share, up to about 1980. Correspondingly, retrenchment from such policy has been detrimental for the wage share in recent decades. This argument is supported by the results of cointegration tests, estimation of long-run and short-run, speed of adjustment, coefficients, as well as by Impulse-response functions. While government consumption is often found to be an important determinant for the wage share, earlier research has neglected the full labor market effect of government job creation associated with an expansion of the welfare state. Sweden is an ideal case for studying the impact of welfare policy on the wage share, since it has been one of the most extensive welfare states and simultaneously has been one of the most egalitarian countries in the world. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The PT governments combined elements of developmentalism and neoliberalism in a contradictory construction, organizing a large political coalition of workers and capitalists that allowed expanding the real wage and reducing poverty and inequality while maintaining the gains of productive and financing capitals. The decline of profitability after the 2008 crisis broke the class coalition constructed during Lula's administration. The Dilma Rousseff government adopted a series of fiscal stimuli for private capital accumulation with meager economic growth. After her reelection, the government implemented an austerity program that resulted in negative growth rates. With the deepening economic crisis and without political support, Rousseff was removed from power. Os governos do PT combinaram elementos de desenvolvimentismo e neoliberalismo em uma construção contraditória, organizando uma grande coalizão política de trabalhadores e capitalistas que permitiu expandir o salário real e reduzir a pobreza e a desigualdade, mantendo os ganhos dos capitais produtivos e financeiros. O declínio da lucratividade após a crise de 2008 quebrou a coalizão de classes construída durante o governo Lula. O governo Dilma Rousseff adotou uma série de estímulos fiscais para a acumulação de capital privado com escasso crescimento econômico. Após sua reeleição, o governo implementou um programa de austeridade que resultou em taxas de crescimento negativas. Com o aprofundamento da crise econômica e sem apoio político, Dilma foi afastada do poder. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The paper studies the decline of the labor income share (LIS) in Mexico during the 1990-2015 period. The decline is mostly explained by reductions within the economy's major sectors (including manufacturing, tradables, and non-tradables), rather than by a recomposition of value added towards sectors with low labor shares. In contrast to agriculture --where LIS fell due to a shift of labor force from self-employment to wage-employment-- in other major areas of the economy the fall in LIS is explained by reductions within the wage-employment sector. Econometric estimations indicate that parallel declines in the wage share and relative productivity of non-tradables and in the US manufacturing labor share all played a large role in the reduction of the manufacturing wage share in Mexico. More generally, the analysis suggests that the lagging productivity of the economy's informal non-tradable sector --itself a reflection of the country's low aggregate rate of economic growth-- is a crucial factor in the fall of LIS in the formal sectors. The paper concludes by discussing possible explanations for the paradox of the slow rate of economic growth in Mexico despite the rise in the profit share. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Mexicós labor share fell from 1990 to 2015 because of reductions in formal sectors. • Stagnant productivity in the self-employment sectors held real formal wages back. • With formal wages anchored, formal productivity gains accrued to profits. • Slow economic growth had a crucial role in the decline of the labor share. • A remaining puzzle is why a rising profit share failed to stimulate growth. The paper studies the decline of the labor income share (LIS) in Mexico during the period 1990–2015. The decline is mostly explained by reductions within the economy's major sectors (including manufacturing, tradables, and non-tradables) rather than by a recomposition of value added towards sectors with low labor shares. In contrast to agriculture—where LIS fell due to a shift of labor force from self-employment to wage-employment—in other major areas of the economy the fall in LIS is explained by reductions within the wage-employment sector. Econometric estimations indicate that parallel declines in the wage share and relative productivity of non-tradables and in the US manufacturing labor share all played a large role in the reduction of the manufacturing wage share in Mexico. More generally, the analysis suggests that the lagging productivity of the economy's informal non-tradable sector—itself a reflection of the country's low aggregate rate of economic growth—is a crucial factor in the fall of LIS in the formal sectors. The paper concludes by discussing possible explanations for the paradox of the slow rate of economic growth in Mexico despite the rise in the profit share. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper contributes to the empirical research around the "wage-led" or "profit-led" demand regimes. It first reviews how Kalecki, and then Steindl, approached the relationship between economic growth and income distribution. Then, empirical analysis carried out under the probabilistic approach to econometric modeling shows statistical evidence, estimated through cointegration analysis, that in the long run, in three very open economies—Mexico, France, and Korea—the wage share is positively associated with demand and output. It finally discusses the macroeconomic dilemma that almost all countries have to face, i.e., a positive effect of a high-wage policy on demand and employment may diverge from a negative effect on output compatible with external equilibrium. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of this paper is to study the impact of wage devaluation policy on the recent recovery experienced by the Spanish economy. For this purpose, we use the theoretical distinction between wage-led and profit-led economies. We address, for the first time in the literature, an in-depth analysis of the Spanish economy using the Bhaduri-Marglin model. We find that the Spanish economy can be characterized as a wage-led economy: a fall in the wage share has a contractionary effect on GDP growth. Our results point to two important conclusions, when we use this model to assess the internal devaluation policy. First, we do not see an export-led recovery in Spain during past years, driven by recent supply-side reforms. And, second, a pro-labour distribution of income would reinforce economic growth: according to our calculations, internal devaluation policy detracted an average of 0.2 percentage points of annual economic growth during the period 2009–17. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The goal of this paper is to stress the importance of changing the present growth strategy of Central and Eastern European (CEE) economies. The economic model of resource and debt intensive growth they have enjoyed in the past two decades have proved to be ineffective and unsustainable. Given that the CEE growth model cannot be identified separately from the EU as a whole, we try to propose possible policy measures that would stimulate growth in the CEE in context of the policies at the EU level.

The last four decades have been marked by growing inequality. The inequality of income and wealth is one of the most important macroeconomic issues of our time. Inequality contributed to Global Savings Glut and Global Financial Crisis through riskiness channel and a greater propensity to borrow for poor people. This paper presents evidence that besides structural factors, monetary policy, high leverage and the development of new money substitutes are critical in explaining the inequality trend in advanced countries. Increasing economic inequality acts as financial instability enhancer and if left untreated it poses a significant threat to economic sustainability.