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Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a globally prevalent cardiac arrhythmia with significant genetic underpinnings, as highlighted by recent large-scale genetic studies. A prominent clinical and genetic overlap exists between AF, heritable ventricular cardiomyopathies, and arrhythmia syndromes, underlining the potential of AF as an early indicator of severe ventricular disease in younger individuals. Indeed, several recent studies have demonstrated meaningful yields of rare pathogenic variants among early-onset AF patients (∼4%-11%), most notably for cardiomyopathy genes in which rare variants are considered clinically actionable. Genetic testing thus presents a promising opportunity to identify monogenetic defects linked to AF and inherited cardiac conditions, such as cardiomyopathy, and may contribute to prognosis and management in early-onset AF patients. A first step towards recognizing this monogenic contribution was taken with the Class IIb recommendation for genetic testing in AF patients aged 45 years or younger by the 2023 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines for AF. By identifying pathogenic genetic variants known to underlie inherited cardiomyopathies and arrhythmia syndromes, a personalized care pathway can be developed, encompassing more tailored screening, cascade testing, and potentially genotype-informed prognosis and preventive measures. However, this can only be ensured by frameworks that are developed and supported by all stakeholders. Ambiguity in test results such as variants of uncertain significance remain a major challenge and as many as ∼60% of people with early-onset AF might carry such variants. Patient education (including pretest counselling), training of genetic teams, selection of high-confidence genes, and careful reporting are strategies to mitigate this. Further challenges to implementation include financial barriers, insurability issues, workforce limitations, and the need for standardized definitions in a fast-moving field. Moreover, the prevailing genetic evidence largely rests on European descent populations, underscoring the need for diverse research cohorts and international collaboration. Embracing these challenges and the potential of genetic testing may improve AF care. However, further research-mechanistic, translational, and clinical-is urgently needed., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact reprints@oup.com for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site—for further information please contact journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background and Aims: The optimal antithrombotic therapy in patients with device-detected atrial fibrillation (DDAF) is unknown. Concomitant vascular disease can modify the benefits and risks of anticoagulation., Methods: These pre-specified analyses of the NOAH-AFNET 6 (n=2534 patients) and ARTESiA (n=4012 patients) trials compared anticoagulation to no anticoagulation in patients with DDAF with or without vascular disease, defined as prior stroke/transient ischemic attack, coronary or peripheral artery disease. Efficacy outcomes were the primary outcomes of both trials, a composite of stroke, systemic arterial embolism (SE), myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism or cardiovascular death, and stroke or SE. Safety outcomes were major bleeding or major bleeding and death., Results: In patients with vascular disease (NOAH-AFNET 6 56%, ARTESiA 46.0%), stroke, myocardial infarction, systemic or pulmonary embolism, or cardiovascular death occurred at 3.9%/patient-year with and 5.0%/patient-year without anticoagulation (NOAH-AFNET 6), and 3.2%/patient-year with and 4.4%/patient-year without anticoagulation (ARTESiA). Without vascular disease, outcomes were equal with and without anticoagulation (NOAH-AFNET 6 2.7%/patient-year, ARTESiA 2.3%/patient-year in both randomised groups). Meta-analysis found consistent results across both trials (I2heterogeneity=6%) with a trend for interaction with randomised therapy (pinteraction=0.08). Stroke/SE behaved similarly. Anticoagulation increased major bleeding in vascular disease patients (edoxaban 2.1%/patient-year, no anticoagulation 1.3%/patient-year; apixaban 1.7%/patient-year; no anticoagulation 1.1%/patient-year; incidence rate ratio 1.55 [1.10-2.20]) and without vascular disease (edoxaban 2.2%/patient-year; no anticoagulation 0.6%/patient-year; apixaban 1.4%/patient-year; no anticoagulation 1.1%/patient-year, incidence rate ratio 1.93 [0.72-5.20])., Conclusions: Patients with DDAF and vascular disease are at higher risk of stroke and cardiovascular events and may derive a greater benefit from anticoagulation than patients with DDAF without vascular disease., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Background and Aims: In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), recurrent AF and sinus rhythm during follow-up are determined by interactions between cardiovascular disease processes and rhythm-control therapy. Predictors of attaining sinus rhythm at follow-up are not well known., Methods: To quantify the interaction between cardiovascular disease processes and rhythm outcomes, 14 biomarkers reflecting AF-related cardiovascular disease processes in 1586 patients in the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study (71 years old, 46% women) were quantified at baseline. Mixed logistic regression models including clinical features were constructed for each biomarker. Biomarkers were interrogated for interaction with early rhythm control. Outcome was sinus rhythm at 12 months. Results were validated at 24 months and in external datasets., Results: Higher baseline concentrations of three biomarkers were independently associated with a lower chance of sinus rhythm at 12 months: angiopoietin 2 (ANGPT2) (odds ratio [OR] 0.76 [95% confidence interval 0.65-0.89], p=0.001), bone morphogenetic protein 10 (BMP10) (OR 0.83 [0.71-0.97], p=0.017) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (OR 0.73 [0.60-0.88], p=0.001). Analysis of rhythm at 24 months confirmed the results. Early rhythm control interacted with the predictive potential of NT-proBNP (pinteraction=0.033). The predictive effect of NT-proBNP was reduced in patients randomized to early rhythm control (usual care: OR 0.64 [0.51-0.80], p<0.001; early rhythm control: OR 0.90 [0.69-1.18], p=0.453). External validation confirmed that low concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10 and NT-proBNP predict sinus rhythm during follow-up., Conclusions: Low concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10 and NT-proBNP identify patients with AF who are likely to attain sinus rhythm during follow-up. The predictive ability of NT-proBNP is attenuated in patients receiving rhythm control., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, is not a dichotomous disease trait. Technological innovations enable long-term rhythm monitoring in many patients and can estimate AF burden. These technologies are already used to detect and monitor AF. This review describes the relation between AF burden and outcomes and potential effects of AF burden reduction. A lower AF burden is associated with a lower risk of stroke and heart failure in patients with AF: stroke risk without anticoagulation is lower in patients with device-detected AF and a low AF burden (stroke rate 1%/year) than in patients with persistent and permanent AF (stroke rate 3%/year). Paroxysmal AF shows intermediate stroke rates (2%/year). Atrial fibrillation burden-reducing interventions can reduce cardiovascular outcomes in patients with AF: early rhythm control reduces cardiovascular events including stroke and heart failure in patients with recently diagnosed AF and cardiovascular conditions. In patients with heart failure and AF, early rhythm control and AF ablation, interventions that reduce AF burden, reduce mortality and heart failure events. Recent technological innovations allow to estimate AF burden in clinical care, creating opportunities and challenges. While evidence remains limited, the existing data already suggest that AF burden reduction could be a therapeutic goal. In addition to anticoagulation and treatment of cardiovascular conditions, AF burden reduction emerges as a therapeutic goal. Future research will define the AF burden that constitutes a relevant risk of stroke and heart failure. Technologies quantifying AF burden need careful validation to advance the field., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are increasingly used off-label to treat patients with left ventricular thrombus (LVT). We analysed available meta-data comparing DOACs and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) for efficacy and safety., Methods: We conducted a systematic search and meta-analysis of observational and randomized data comparing DOACs vs. VKAs in patients with LVT. Endpoints of interest were stroke or systemic embolism, thrombus resolution, all-cause death, and a composite bleeding endpoint. Estimates were pooled using a random-effects model meta-analysis, and their robustness was investigated using sensitivity and influential analyses., Results: We identified 22 articles (18 observational studies, 4 small randomized clinical trials) reporting on a total of 3587 patients (2489 VKA vs. 1098 DOAC therapy). The pooled estimates for stroke or systemic embolism [odds ratio (OR): 0.81; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.57, 1.15] and thrombus resolution (OR: 1.12; 95% CI: 0.86, 1.46) were comparable, and there was low heterogeneity overall across the included studies. The use of DOACs was associated with lower odds of all-cause death (OR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.46, 0.92) and a composite bleeding endpoint (OR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.47, 0.97). A risk of bias was evident particularly for observational reports, with some publication bias suggested in funnel plots., Conclusion: In this comprehensive analysis of mainly observational data, the use of DOACs was not associated with a significant difference in stroke or systemic embolism, or thrombus resolution, compared with VKA therapy. The use of DOACs was associated with a lower rate of all-cause death and fewer bleeding events. Adequately sized randomized clinical trials are needed to confirm these findings, which could allow a wider adoption of DOACs in patients with LVT., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

A budget impact analysis estimates the short-term difference between the cost of the current treatment strategy and a new treatment strategy, in this case to implement population screening for atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of this study is to estimate the financial impact of implementing population-based AF-screening of 75-year-olds compared with the current setting of no screening from a healthcare payer perspective in eight European countries. The net budget impact of AF-screening was estimated in country-specific settings for Denmark, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Serbia, Spain, and Sweden. Country-specific parameters were used to allow for variations in healthcare systems and to reflect the healthcare sector in the country of interest. Similar results can be seen in all countries AF-screening incurs savings of stroke-related costs since AF treatment reduces the number of strokes. However, the increased number of detected AF and higher drug acquisition will increase the drug costs as well as the costs of physician- and control visits. The net budget impact per invited varied from €10 in Ireland to €122 in the Netherlands. The results showed the increased costs of implementing AF-screening were mainly driven by increased drug costs and screening costs. In conclusion, across Europe, though the initial cost of screening and more frequent use of oral anti-coagulants will increase the healthcare payers' costs, introducing population screening for AF will result in savings of stroke-related costs., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: M.E., J.L., L.B., and K.A. report no conflicts of interest. L.Å.L. has received lecture fees and advisory board fees from BMS/Pfizer, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, and Zenicor and own stocks in Astra Zeneca. J.H.S. reports to be a member of Medtronic and Vital Beats advisory boards and to have received speaker honoraria and research grants from Medtronic. R.B.S. has received lecture fees and advisory board fees from BMS/Pfizer and Bayer outside this work. D.E. reports no conflicts of interest. C.M. and C.W. are employees of the Institute for Epidemiology, Statistics and Informatics GmbH. The Institute for Epidemiology, Statistics and Informatics GmbH has received grants from Astra Zeneca, Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb and CSL Behring outside the submitted work. S.Z.D. reports consultancy fees from VitalBeats, BMS/Pfizer, Cortrium, and Acesion Pharma, speaker grants from BMS/Pfizer and Bayer, and travel grants from Abbott and Boston Scientific. G.B. reports speaker’s fees of small amount from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Boston, Daiichi Sankyo, Janssen, and Sanofi outside of the submitted work. C.M.B. reports no conflicts of interest., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Graphical abstract., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: R.B.S. has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement No 648131, from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement No. 847770 (AFFECT-EU), from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under the grant agreement ID: 101095480 and German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK e.V.) (81Z1710103 and 81Z0710114); German Ministry of Research and Education (BMBF 01ZX1408A) and ERACoSysMed3 (031L0239). Wolfgang Seefried project funding German Heart Foundation. R.B.S. has received lecture fees and advisory board fees from BMS/Pfizer and Bayer outside this work. B.F. received a New South Wales Health Senior Researcher Cardiovascular Capacity Building Grant for research in atrial fibrillation Screening and Management; Honoraria for speaking and/or advisory Boards from the BMS/Pfizer Alliance, and Omron unrelated to this work, and a research grant to the institution for an investigator-initiated study from the BMS/Pfizer Alliance unrelated to this work. All other authors declared no conflict of interest., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: Clinical concerns exist about the potential proarrhythmic effects of the sodium channel blockers (SCBs) flecainide and propafenone in patients with cardiovascular disease. Sodium channel blockers were used to deliver early rhythm control (ERC) therapy in EAST-AFNET 4., Methods and Results: We analysed the primary safety outcome (death, stroke, or serious adverse events related to rhythm control therapy) and primary efficacy outcome (cardiovascular death, stroke, and hospitalization for worsening of heart failure (HF) or acute coronary syndrome) during SCB intake for patients with ERC (n = 1395) in EAST-AFNET 4. The protocol discouraged flecainide and propafenone in patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction and suggested stopping therapy upon QRS prolongation >25% on therapy. Flecainide or propafenone was given to 689 patients [age 69 (8) years; CHA2DS2-VASc 3.2 (1); 177 with HF; 41 with prior myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass graft, or percutaneous coronary intervention; 26 with left ventricular hypertrophy >15 mm; median therapy duration 1153 [237, 1828] days]. The primary efficacy outcome occurred less often in patients treated with SCB [3/100 (99/3316) patient-years] than in patients who never received SCB [SCBnever 4.9/100 (150/3083) patient-years, P < 0.001]. There were numerically fewer primary safety outcomes in patients receiving SCB [2.9/100 (96/3359) patient-years] than in SCBnever patients [4.2/100 (135/3220) patient-years, adjusted P = 0.015]. Sinus rhythm at 2 years was similar between groups [SCB 537/610 (88); SCBnever 472/579 (82)]., Conclusion: Long-term therapy with flecainide or propafenone appeared to be safe in the EAST-AFNET 4 trial to deliver effective ERC therapy, including in selected patients with stable cardiovascular disease such as coronary artery disease and stable HF. Clinical Trial Registration ISRCTN04708680, NCT01288352, EudraCT2010-021258-20, www.easttrial.org., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: A.R.: Consultant fees, travel grants or lecture fees from Medtronic, Biosense Webster, Abbott, Boston Scientific, Ablamap, Philips, Cardiofocus, Bayer, Pfizer and Novartis, Edwards and Lifetech. Committee: German Society of Cardiology (Select-chair of EP community). L.E.: Grants/contracts: research support by the German heart foundation. Consulting fees Boston Scientific, lecture fees for various medical companies. Society, committee: German Society of Cardiology; European Society of Cardiology; European Heart Rhythm Society. K.B.: no COIs. J.C.: Participation on a data safety monitoring board: Anthos, Johnson and Johnson, Enso, Bayer, Charité. H.C.: Grants/contracts: ZonMw grant no. 104021005 RACE 9 Device-based rate vs. rhythm control treatment in patients with symptomatic recent-onset atrial fibrillation in the emergency department (RACE 9). Consulting fees: InCarda Therapeutics, Roche, Sanofi, Atricure. Payment or Honoraria: Medtronic. Participation on a data safety monitoring board or advisory board: Chair DSMB Decision trial. Committee/society: DZHK, German Centre for Cardiovascular research. A.G.: Grants/contracts: Maestria Grant EU 965286. Consulting fees: Sanofi-Aventis, Bayer, Astra Zeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, BMS/Pfizer, Viofor, Boston Scientific, Medtronic, Menarini. G.B.: Chair, advisory board to AFNET e.V., no payment. M.L.: No COIs. A.M.: Consulting fees: Medtronic, Johnson and Johnson, Boston Scientific, LifeTech. Lecture honoraria: Medtronic, Johnson and Johnson, Lifetech, Pfizer, Boston Scientific, Bayer, Bristol Meyer Squibb. L.R.: No COIs. U.S.: Grants/contracts: EU: CATCH ME, MAESTRIA, Personalize AF, REPAIR, Dutch Heart foundation, RACE V Embrace. Consulting fees: Roche advisory board, YourRhythmics BV. Payment or honoraria: Johnson and Johnson. Patents: non-invasive classification of AF with ECG. Society/Committee: Board of directors of AFNET. Stock or stock options: YourRhythmics BV. E.V.: Support for present manuscript: AFNET: payments made to my institution. Outside this work: Biotronik: payments made to my institution. K.W.: All support payment for manuscript: AFNET. Grants/contracts: Biotronik, Resmed. Payment/honoraria: Boston scientific, Novartis. A.Z.: Support for present manuscript: AFNET: payments made to my institution. Outside this work: Biotronik: payments made to my institution. Grants/contracts: Biotronik, Resmed. Payment/honoraria: Boston scientific. H.H.: Unconditional Research Grants through the University of Hassels and Antwerp: Abbott, Medtronic, Biotronik, Boston scientific, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi Sankyo, Pfizer–BMS. Payment or honoraria: Bayer, Biotronik, Bristol Myers Squibb, Daiichi Sankyo, Milestone Pharmaceuticals, Centrix India, CTI Germany, European Society of Cardiology, Medscape, Springer healthcare. Participation on a data safety monitoring board or advisory board: Member, DSBM Prestige-AF. S.W.: Grants: Boston Scientific, Consulting fees: Boston Scientific, Abbott. Speakers Bureau: BSCI; Abbott, BMS, Medtronic. L.F.: Institutional government or charity research support: European Union Horizon 2020 MAESTRIA [grant agreement number 965286 (MAESTRIA)] European Union Horizon 2020 CATCH ME, [grant agreement number 633196 (CATCH ME), European Union Horizon 2020 AFFECT-EU, grant agreement number 847770 (AFFECT-EU)] Institutional governmental support, National Institute for Health and Care Research NIHR, Medical Research Council (UK), German Centre for Cardiovascular Research DZHK. Support for attending meetings: ESC, EHRA, and ESC working groups, ARVC patient organization (charity). Patents planned issued or pending: L.F. is listed as inventor of two patents (Atrial Fibrillation Therapy WO 2015140571, Markers for Atrial Fibrillation WO 2016012783). Society/committee: BHF project grant committee (charity). BHF chair committee visits (charity), AFNET steering committee (charity), ARVC patient organization (charity). Equipment and analytics to AFNET for AFNET 9: Preventicus, Trial costs to AFNET for AFNET 9: Daiichi Sankyo. R.S. has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement No 648131, from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement no. 847770 (AFFECT-EU) and German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK e.V.) (81Z1710103 and 81Z0710114); German Ministry of Research and Education (BMBF 01ZX1408A) and ERACoSysMed3 (031L0239). Wolfgang Seefried project funding German Heart Foundation. Lecture fees and advisory board fees from BMS/Pfizer and Bayer. Society/committee: ESC stroke council nucleus member. C.M.: Grants or contracts: Research funding from German Center for Cardiovascular Research (Promotion of women scientists programme; FKZ 81X3710112); Deutsche Stiftung für Herzforschung; Dr. Rolf M. Schwiete Stiftung; NDD; Loewenstein Medical. Payment or honoraria: AstraZeneca, Novartis, Boehringer Ingelheim/Lilly, Bayer, Pfizer, Sanofi, Aventis, Apontis, Abbott. Support for attending meetings: AstraZeneca, Novartis, Boehringer Ingelheim/Lilly, Novo Nordisk. Participation on a data safety monitoring board or advisory board: Boehringer Ingelheim/Lilly; Novo Nordisk. P.K.: P.K. was partially supported by European Union AFFECT-AF (grant agreement 847770), and MAESTRIA (grant agreement 965286), British Heart Foundation (PG/17/30/32961; PG/20/22/35093; AA/18/2/34218), German Center for Cardiovascular Research supported by the German Ministry of Education and Research (DZHK, grant numbers DZHK FKZ 81X2800182, 81Z0710116, and 81Z0710110), German Research Foundation (Ki 509167694), and Leducq Foundation. P.K. receives research support for basic, translational, and clinical research projects from European Union, British Heart Foundation, Leducq Foundation, Medical Research Council (UK), and German Centre for Cardiovascular Research, from several drug and device companies active in atrial fibrillation. P.K. is listed as inventor on two issued patents held by University of Hamburg (Atrial Fibrillation Therapy WO 2015140571, Markers for Atrial Fibrillation WO 2016012783). P.K. receives research support for basic, translational, and clinical research projects from European Union, British Heart Foundation, Leducq Foundation, Medical Research Council (UK), and German Center for Cardiovascular Research, from several drug and device companies active in atrial fibrillation, and has received honoraria from several such companies in the past, but not in the last 3 years. P.K. is board member of the ESC and speaker of the board AFNET., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

One in six ischaemic stroke patients has an embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), defined as a stroke with unclear aetiology despite recommended diagnostic evaluation. The overall cardiovascular risk of ESUS is high and it is important to optimize strategies to prevent recurrent stroke and other cardiovascular events. The aim of clinicians when confronted with a patient not only with ESUS but also with any other medical condition of unclear aetiology is to identify the actual cause amongst a list of potential differential diagnoses, in order to optimize secondary prevention. However, specifically in ESUS, this may be challenging as multiple potential thromboembolic sources frequently coexist. Also, it can be delusively reassuring because despite the implementation of specific treatments for the individual pathology presumed to be the actual thromboembolic source, patients can still be vulnerable to stroke and other cardiovascular events caused by other pathologies already identified during the index diagnostic evaluation but whose thromboembolic potential was underestimated. Therefore, rather than trying to presume which particular mechanism is the actual embolic source in an ESUS patient, it is important to assess the overall thromboembolic risk of the patient through synthesis of the individual risks linked to all pathologies present, regardless if presumed causally associated or not. In this paper, a multi-disciplinary panel of clinicians/researchers from various backgrounds of expertise and specialties (cardiology, internal medicine, neurology, radiology and vascular surgery) proposes a comprehensive multi-dimensional assessment of the overall thromboembolic risk in ESUS patients through the composition of individual risks associated with all prevalent pathologies., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

A significant proportion of patients who suffer from atrial fibrillation (AF) and are in need of thromboembolic protection are not treated with oral anticoagulation or discontinue this treatment shortly after its initiation. This undertreatment has not improved sufficiently despite the availability of direct oral anticoagulants which are associated with less major bleeding than vitamin K antagonists. Multiple reasons account for this, including bleeding events or ischaemic strokes whilst on anticoagulation, a serious risk of bleeding events, poor treatment compliance despite best educational attempts, or aversion to drug therapy. An alternative interventional therapy, which is not associated with long-term bleeding and is as effective as vitamin K anticoagulation, was introduced over 20 years ago. Because of significant improvements in procedural safety over the years, left atrial appendage closure, predominantly achieved using a catheter-based, device implantation approach, is increasingly favoured for the prevention of thromboembolic events in patients who cannot achieve effective anticoagulation. This management strategy is well known to the interventional cardiologist/electrophysiologist but is not more widely appreciated within cardiology or internal medicine. This article introduces the devices and briefly explains the implantation technique. The indications and device follow-up are more comprehensively described. Almost all physicians who care for adult patients will have many with AF. This practical guide, written within guideline/guidance boundaries, is aimed at those non-implanting physicians who may need to refer patients for consideration of this new therapy, which is becoming increasingly popular., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: C.B.: none declared. R.B.: personal fees from Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, LEO-Pharma, Pfizer, VIATRIS, and research support by the Bavarian State Ministry of Health; CPC University of Colorado; FADOI, Italy. S.Be.: proctor and speaker fees from Boston Scientific, Edwards, Abbott, fees go to the department. S.Bi.: none declared. L.V.A.B.: consultant for Medtronic, Boston Scientific, Adagio, and ACUTUS, fees go to the department. G.B.: speaker fees from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Boston Scientific, Daiichi-Sankyo, Janssen, and Sanofi. S.Bo.: Consultant for Medtronic, Boston Scientific, Microport, and Zoll. A.J.C.: personal fees from Abbott, Boston Scientific, Medtronic, Pfizer/BMS, Daiichi Sankyo, Bayer and Sanofi. T.D.P.: no personal disclosures to report. Consultancy activity for Boston Scientific, invoiced through institutional research fund. W.D.: consulting and speaker fees from Ai Mediq, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Medtronic, Boston Scientific, Vifor Pharma; travel support from Pharmacosmos; research support from EU (Horizon2020), German Ministry of Education and Research, German Center for Cardiovascular Research, Vifor Pharma. S.G.: consulting and speaker fees from Boston Scientific. M.G.: Advisory Board Member for Boston Scientific; proctor for Boston Scientific, Abbott; fees for lectures and travel grants: from Boston Scientific, Abbott, Occlutech, Pfizer. K.G.H.: speaker’s honoraria, consulting fees, lecture honoraria and/or study grants from Abbott, Amarin; Alexion, AstraZeneca, Bayer Healthcare, Biotronik, Boehringer Ingelheim, Boston Scientific, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Daiichi-Sankyo, Edwards Lifesciences, Medtronic, Novartis, Pfizer, Portola, Premier Research, Sanofi, SUN Pharma, and W.L. Gore and Associates. J.E.N.-K.: consultant to Boston Scientific, Medtronic, Edwards Lifesciences, Picardia, Venus Medtech, speaker for Abbott. U.L.: research grant to institution from Abbott, Bayer, speaker or consulting honorary from Abbott, Boston Scientific, Bayer; Pfizer, Daiichi-Sankyo. G.Y.H.L.: consultant and speaker for BMS/Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi-Sankyo, Anthos. No fees are received personally. National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Senior Investigator and co-principal investigator of the AFFIRMO project on multi-morbidity in AF, funded from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 899871. J.E.N.-K.: research grants from Abbott, Boston Scientific, Novo Nordic Foundation. J.E.N.-K.: research grants from Abbott, Boston Scientific, Novo Nordic Foundation. E.M.: research grants from Abbott, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Medtronic, MicroPort, and Zoll. Consultant and speaker fees from Abbott, Abbott, Medtronic, and Zoll. J.E.N.-K.: research grants from Abbott, Boston Scientific, Novo Nordic Foundation. P.O.: speaking honoraria from Bayer, Abbott, Boston Scientific. T.P.: none declared. B.S.: consultant and speaker for Bostin Scientific, Abbott, Medtronic, Biosense Webster. M.S.: none declared. R.B.S. has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement no. 648131, from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement no. 847770 (AFFECT-EU) and German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK e.V.) (81Z1710103 and 81Z0710114); German Ministry of Research and Education (BMBF 01ZX1408A) and ERACoSysMed3 (031L0239); Wolfgang Seefried project funding German Heart Foundation; lecture fees and advisory board fees from BMS/Pfizer and Novartis outside this work. C.T.: advisory board member of Boston Scientific; proctor for Boston Scientific and Abbott; fees for lectures and travel grants from Boston Scientific and Abbott. A portion of the fees goes to the institute. A.T.: consultant and proctor for Abbott, consultant for Boston Scientific and Pie Medical., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Background and Aims: Recent investigations have suggested an interdependence of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)]-related risk for cardiovascular disease with background inflammatory burden. The aim the present analysis was to investigate whether high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) modulates the association between Lp(a) and coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population., Methods: Data from 71 678 participants from 8 European prospective population-based cohort studies were used (65 661 without/6017 with established CHD at baseline; median follow-up 9.8/13.8 years, respectively). Fine and Gray competing risk-adjusted models were calculated according to accompanying hsCRP concentration (<2 and ≥2 mg/L)., Results: Among CHD-free individuals, increased Lp(a) levels were associated with incident CHD irrespective of hsCRP concentration: fully adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratios [sHRs (95% confidence interval)] for the highest vs. lowest fifth of Lp(a) distribution were 1.45 (1.23-1.72) and 1.48 (1.23-1.78) for a hsCRP group of <2 and ≥2 mg/L, respectively, with no interaction found between these two biomarkers on CHD risk (Pinteraction = 0.82). In those with established CHD, similar associations were seen only among individuals with hsCRP ≥ 2 mg/L [1.34 (1.03-1.76)], whereas among participants with a hsCRP concentration <2 mg/L, there was no clear association between Lp(a) and future CHD events [1.29 (0.98-1.71)] (highest vs. lowest fifth, fully adjusted models; Pinteraction = 0.024)., Conclusions: While among CHD-free individuals Lp(a) was significantly associated with incident CHD regardless of hsCRP, in participants with CHD at baseline, Lp(a) was related to recurrent CHD events only in those with residual inflammatory risk. These findings might guide adequate selection of high-risk patients for forthcoming Lp(a)-targeting compounds., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background and Aims: Patients with long atrial high-rate episodes (AHREs) ≥24 h and stroke risk factors are often treated with anticoagulation for stroke prevention. Anticoagulation has never been compared with no anticoagulation in these patients., Methods: This secondary pre-specified analysis of the Non-vitamin K antagonist Oral anticoagulants in patients with Atrial High-rate episodes (NOAH-AFNET 6) trial examined interactions between AHRE duration at baseline and anticoagulation with edoxaban compared with placebo in patients with AHRE and stroke risk factors. The primary efficacy outcome was a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, or cardiovascular death. The safety outcome was a composite of major bleeding and death. Key secondary outcomes were components of these outcomes and electrocardiogram (ECG)-diagnosed atrial fibrillation., Results: Median follow-up of 2389 patients with core lab-verified AHRE was 1.8 years. AHRE ≥24 h were present at baseline in 259/2389 patients (11%, 78 ± 7 years old, 28% women, CHA2DS2-VASc 4). Clinical characteristics were not different from patients with shorter AHRE. The primary outcome occurred in 9/132 patients with AHRE ≥24 h (4.3%/patient-year, 2 strokes) treated with anticoagulation and in 14/127 patients treated with placebo (6.9%/patient-year, 2 strokes). Atrial high-rate episode duration did not interact with the efficacy (P-interaction = .65) or safety (P-interaction = .98) of anticoagulation. Analyses including AHRE as a continuous parameter confirmed this. Patients with AHRE ≥24 h developed more ECG-diagnosed atrial fibrillation (17.0%/patient-year) than patients with shorter AHRE (8.2%/patient-year; P < .001)., Conclusions: This hypothesis-generating analysis does not find an interaction between AHRE duration and anticoagulation therapy in patients with device-detected AHRE and stroke risk factors. Further research is needed to identify patients with long AHRE at high stroke risk., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: Different disease processes can combine to cause atrial fibrillation (AF). Their contribution to recurrent AF after ablation in patients is not known. Cardiovascular processes associated with recurrent AF after AF ablation were determined by quantifying biomolecules related to inflammation, metabolism, proliferation, fibrosis, shear stress, atrial pressure, and others in the AXAFA biomolecule study., Methods and Results: Twelve circulating cardiovascular biomolecules (ANGPT2, BMP10, CA125, hsCRP, ESM1, FABP3, FGF23, GDF15, IGFBP7, IL6, NT-proBNP, and hsTnT) were quantified in plasma samples obtained prior to a first AF ablation using high-throughput, high-precision assays. Cox regression was used to identify biomolecules associated with recurrent AF during the first 3 months after AF ablation. In 433 patients (64 years [58, 70]; 33% women), baseline concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, hsCRP, FGF23, FABP3, GDF15, and NT-proBNP were elevated in patients with recurrent AF (120/433; 28%). After adjustment for 11 clinical features and randomized treatment, elevated NT-proBNP [hazard ratio (HR) 1.58, 95% confidence interval (1.29, 1.94)], ANGPT2 [HR 1.37, (1.12, 1.67)], and BMP10 [HR 1.24 (1.02, 1.51)] remained associated with recurrent AF. Concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP decreased in patients who remained arrhythmia free, but not in patients with recurrent AF, highlighting their connection to AF. The other eight biomarkers showed unchanged concentrations., Conclusion: Elevated concentrations of ANGPT2, BMP10, and NT-proBNP are associated with recurrent AF after a first AF ablation, suggesting that processes linked to disturbed cardiomyocyte metabolism, altered atrial shear stress, and increased load contribute to AF after AF ablation in patients., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: K.G.H. reports lecture fees/advisory board fees from Abbott, Alexion, Amarin, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Biotronik, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol Myers Squibb, Daiichi Sankyo, Edwards Lifesciences, Medtronic, Pfizer, Premier Research, SUN Pharma, and W. L. Gore & Associates. R.B.S. has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement no. 648131, from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement no. 847770 (AFFECT-EU), German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK e.V.; 81Z1710103), German Ministry of Research and Education (BMBF 01ZX1408A), and ERACoSysMed3 (031L0239). R.B.S. has received lecture fees and advisory board fees from BMS/Pfizer outside this work. P.K. receives research support for basic, translational, and clinical research projects from the European Union, British Heart Foundation, Leducq Foundation, Medical Research Council (UK), and German Centre for Cardiovascular Research, from several drug and device companies active in atrial fibrillation, and has received honoraria from several such companies in the past, but not in the last 3 years. P.K. is listed as inventor on two patents held by University of Birmingham (Atrial Fibrillation Therapy WO 2015140571, Markers for Atrial Fibrillation WO 2016012783). U.S. received research grants from the Netherlands Heart Foundation (CVON2014-09, RACE V Reappraisal of Atrial Fibrillation: Interaction between hyperCoagulability, Electrical remodeling, and Vascular Destabilisation in the Progression of AF) and the European Union (ITN Network Personalize AF: Personalized Therapies for Atrial Fibrillation: a translational network, grant number 860974; CATCH ME: Characterizing Atrial fibrillation by Translating its Causes into Health Modifiers in the Elderly, grant number 633196; MAESTRIA: Machine Learning Artificial Intelligence Early Detection Stroke Atrial Fibrillation, grant number 965286; REPAIR: Restoring cardiac mechanical function by polymeric artificial muscular tissue, grant number 952166). U.S. received consultancy fees or honoraria from Università della Svizzera Italiana (USI, Switzerland), Roche Diagnostics (Switzerland), EP Solutions Inc. (Switzerland), Johnson & Johnson Medical Limited (UK), and YourRhythmics BV. U.S. is co-founder and shareholder of YourRhythmics BV, a spin-off company of the University Maastricht. U.-H.W.-T. is an employee of Roche Diagnostics. T.Z. received funding from the German Science Foundation, German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK e.V.; 81Z1710101, partner site project), The European Union euCanSHare project (grand agreement 825903), the ERA CVD project PREMED-CAD (FKZ01KL1807), and the ERA PerMed project (01KU1910B) outside this work. L.M. reports honoraries as consultant, lecturer, and advisory board from Boston Scientific, Abbott Medical, Johnson & Johnson, and Medtronic. He is a shareholder of Galgo Medical SL. J.P. is supported by R01AG074185 from the National Institutes of Aging, grants for clinical research from Abbott, American Heart Association, the Association for the Advancement of Medical Instrumentation, Bayer, Boston Scientific, iRhythm, and Philips, and serves as a consultant to Abbott, AbbVie, Bayer, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Bristol Myers Squibb, Element Science, Itamar Medical, LivaNova, Medtronic, Milestone, ElectroPhysiology Frontiers, ReCor, Sanofi, Philips, and Up-to-Date. The other authors have nothing to disclose. L.F. received institutional research support from EU Horizon 2020 CATCH ME (grant agreement number 633196), and MAESTRIA (grant agreement number 965286). L.F. has received funding from Accelerator Award by the British Heart Foundation AA/18/2/34218. L.F. is further part-funded by National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) award 1002898 (APRAISE-AS) at University of Birmingham, AFFECT-EU grant agreement number 847770 and German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK)., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: Heart failure (HF) is a risk factor for major adverse events in atrial fibrillation (AF). Whether this risk persists on non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and varies according to left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is debated., Methods and Results: We investigated the relation of HF in the ETNA-AF-Europe registry, a prospective, multicentre, observational study with an overall 4-year follow-up of edoxaban-treated AF patients. We report 2-year follow-up for ischaemic stroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA)/systemic embolic events (SEE), major bleeding, and mortality. Of the 13 133 patients, 1854 (14.1%) had HF. Left ventricular ejection fraction was available for 82.4% of HF patients and was <40% in 671 (43.9%) and ≥40% in 857 (56.1%). Patients with HF were older, more often men, and had more comorbidities. Annualized event rates (AnERs) of any stroke/SEE were 0.86%/year and 0.67%/year in patients with and without HF. Compared with patients without HF, those with HF also had higher AnERs for major bleeding (1.73%/year vs. 0.86%/year) and all-cause death (8.30%/year vs. 3.17%/year). Multivariate Cox proportional models confirmed HF as a significant predictor of major bleeding [hazard ratio (HR) 1.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.20-2.26] and all-cause death [HF with LVEF <40% (HR 2.42, 95% CI: 1.95-3.00) and HF with LVEF ≥40% (HR 1.80, 95% CI: 1.45-2.23)] but not of ischaemic stroke/TIA/SEE., Conclusion: Anticoagulated patients with HF at baseline featured higher rates of major bleeding and all-cause death, requiring optimized management and novel preventive strategies. NOAC treatment was similarly effective in reducing risk of ischaemic events in patients with or without concomitant HF., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: R.B.S. has received lecture fees and advisory board fees from BMS/Pfizer outside this work. P.A. has received lecture and/or advisory board fees from Daiichi Sankyo, Boehringer Ingelheim, Novartis, AstraZeneca, Janssen, MSD, Vifor, and Bayer. J.M.S.-M. has received speaker or consultant fees by AOP, Chiesi, Biosensors, Boston Scientific, P&F, Boehringer Ingelheim, and Daiichi Sankyo not related to the submitted work. I.D. reports having received speaker fees from Daiichi Sankyo and Pfizer. M.G. has received personal fees (lectures, advisory boards, and research grants) and travel grants from Daiichi Sankyo, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer, Abbott, Biotronik, Boston, Medtronic, and Sorin. L.P. has received fees from Daiichi Sankyo, Beckman-Coulter, and SOTIO. M.C.M. and J.S. are employees of Daiichi Sankyo Europe GmbH, Munich, Germany. R.D.C. reports grants, personal fees, and non-financial support from Daiichi Sankyo, during the conduct of the study, and reports consulting fees, honoraria, and research funding from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer, BMS/Pfizer, Daiichi Sankyo, Janssen, Milestone, Novartis, Merck, Portola, Sanofi, Menarini, Guidotti, and Roche, outside the submitted work. P.K. receives research support for basic, translational, and clinical research projects from European Union Big-Data@Heart (grant agreement EU IMI 116 074), CATCH ME (grant agreement ID: 633 196), and AFFECT-EU (grant agreement ID: 847 770); Leducq foundation, Medical Research Council (UK); German Centre for Cardiovascular Research supported by the German Ministry of Education and Research; and from several drug and device companies active in atrial fibrillation and has received honoraria from several such companies in the past but not in the last 3 years. P.K. is listed as inventor on two patents held by the University of Birmingham (Atrial Fibrillation Therapy WO 2 015 140 571 and Markers for Atrial Fibrillation WO 2 016 012 783). P.K. is employed as Director of the Department of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Centre UKE Hamburg, and Professor of Cardiovascular Medicine (part-time), University of Birmingham, UK. He is a Speaker of the board of AFNET, Germany, and a Board member of the ESC., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with altered cAMP/PKA signaling and an AF-promoting reduction of L-type Ca2+-current (ICa,L), the mechanisms of which are poorly understood. Cyclic-nucleotide phosphodiesterases (PDEs) degrade cAMP and regulate PKA-dependent phosphorylation of key calcium-handling proteins, including the ICa,L-carrying Cav1.2α1C subunit. The aim was to assess whether altered function of PDE type-8 (PDE8) isoforms contributes to the reduction of ICa,L in persistent (chronic) AF (cAF) patients., Methods and Results: mRNA, protein levels, and localization of PDE8A and PDE8B isoforms were measured by RT-qPCR, western blot, co-immunoprecipitation and immunofluorescence. PDE8 function was assessed by FRET, patch-clamp and sharp-electrode recordings. PDE8A gene and protein levels were higher in paroxysmal AF (pAF) vs. sinus rhythm (SR) patients, whereas PDE8B was upregulated in cAF only. Cytosolic abundance of PDE8A was higher in atrial pAF myocytes, whereas PDE8B tended to be more abundant at the plasmalemma in cAF myocytes. In co-immunoprecipitation, only PDE8B2 showed binding to Cav1.2α1C subunit which was strongly increased in cAF. Accordingly, Cav1.2α1C showed a lower phosphorylation at Ser1928 in association with decreased ICa,L in cAF. Selective PDE8 inhibition increased Ser1928 phosphorylation of Cav1.2α1C, enhanced cAMP at the subsarcolemma and rescued the lower ICa,L in cAF, which was accompanied by a prolongation of action potential duration at 50% of repolarization., Conclusion: Both PDE8A and PDE8B are expressed in human heart. Upregulation of PDE8B isoforms in cAF reduces ICa,L via direct interaction of PDE8B2 with the Cav1.2α1C subunit. Thus, upregulated PDE8B2 might serve as a novel molecular mechanism of the proarrhythmic reduction of ICa,L in cAF., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest The authors have no competing interests. R.B.S. reports grants from European Union Horizon 2020, the German Ministry of Research and Education, ERACOSysMed3 and personal fees from BMS/Pfizer, outside this work., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: To identify robust circulating predictors for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) using classical regressions and machine learning (ML) techniques within a broad spectrum of candidate variables., Methods and Results: In pooled European community cohorts (n = 42 280 individuals), 14 routinely available biomarkers mirroring distinct pathophysiological pathways including lipids, inflammation, renal, and myocardium-specific markers (N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP], high-sensitivity troponin I [hsTnI]) were examined in relation to incident AF using Cox regressions and distinct ML methods. Of 42 280 individuals (21 843 women [51.7%]; median [interquartile range, IQR] age, 52.2 [42.7, 62.0] years), 1496 (3.5%) developed AF during a median follow-up time of 5.7 years. In multivariable-adjusted Cox-regression analysis, NT-proBNP was the strongest circulating predictor of incident AF [hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation (SD), 1.93 (95% CI, 1.82-2.04); P < 0.001]. Further, hsTnI [HR per SD, 1.18 (95% CI, 1.13-1.22); P < 0.001], cystatin C [HR per SD, 1.16 (95% CI, 1.10-1.23); P < 0.001], and C-reactive protein [HR per SD, 1.08 (95% CI, 1.02-1.14); P = 0.012] correlated positively with incident AF. Applying various ML techniques, a high inter-method consistency of selected candidate variables was observed. NT-proBNP was identified as the blood-based marker with the highest predictive value for incident AF. Relevant clinical predictors were age, the use of antihypertensive medication, and body mass index., Conclusion: Using different variable selection procedures including ML methods, NT-proBNP consistently remained the strongest blood-based predictor of incident AF and ranked before classical cardiovascular risk factors. The clinical benefit of these findings for identifying at-risk individuals for targeted AF screening needs to be elucidated and tested prospectively., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: R.B.S. has received lecture fees and advisory board fees from BMS/Pfizer outside the submitted work. B.T. receives project-related funding by the German Heart Foundation and Ernst und Berta Grimmke-Stiftung unrelated to the submitted work. V.S. reports an honorarium for consulting from Sanofi. He also has research collaboration with Bayer Ltd (all unrelated to the present study). T.N. reports speaker honoraria from Servier outside the submitted work. S.S. received honoraria from Actelion (now Janssen) outside the submitted work. Furthermore, S.S. is a member of the advisory board of Actelion (now Janssen) and of Novartis. I.K. has received research grants by the Heart Foundation in Northern Sweden and Arnerska Research Foundation, both unrelated to the present study. S.B. reports honoraria to his institution from Abbott, Bayer, Siemens, Singulex, and Roche, outside the submitted work. S.B. also reports personal fees from Abbott, Bayer, Siemens, Novartis, Thermo Fisher, Astra Zeneca, AMGEN, Medtronic, and Pfizer. S.Co. has received honoraria for lecturing from The Dutch Beer Institute foundation—The Brewers of Europe, outside the submitted work. S.Co. and A.D.C. are the PI and Co-PI, respectively, of a research grant from ERAB (the European Foundation for Alcohol Research, EA 1767, completed in January 2020), which is unrelated to the present study. G.d.G. is a member of the International Scientific Forum on Alcohol Research. The members of the Forum receive no financial support. The Forum itself receives no support from any other organization or company in the alcoholic beverage industry. G.d.G. was also a consultant to the Web Newsletter of Assobirra, the Italian Association of the Beer and Malt Industries and is a corresponding member of the non-profit Accademia Italiana della Vite e del Vino. G.d.G. reports personal fees for given lectures at the 8th European Beer and Health Symposium (2017), Beer and Health Initiative (The Dutch Beer Institute Foundation—The Brewers of Europe), outside the submitted work. All remaining authors have declared no conflicts of interest., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Despite marked progress in the management of atrial fibrillation (AF), detecting AF remains difficult and AF-related complications cause unacceptable morbidity and mortality even on optimal current therapy. This document summarizes the key outcomes of the 8th AFNET/EHRA Consensus Conference of the Atrial Fibrillation NETwork (AFNET) and the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA). Eighty-three international experts met in Hamburg for 2 days in October 2021. Results of the interdisciplinary, hybrid discussions in breakout groups and the plenary based on recently published and unpublished observations are summarized in this consensus paper to support improved care for patients with AF by guiding prevention, individualized management, and research strategies. The main outcomes are (i) new evidence supports a simple, scalable, and pragmatic population-based AF screening pathway; (ii) rhythm management is evolving from therapy aimed at improving symptoms to an integrated domain in the prevention of AF-related outcomes, especially in patients with recently diagnosed AF; (iii) improved characterization of atrial cardiomyopathy may help to identify patients in need for therapy; (iv) standardized assessment of cognitive function in patients with AF could lead to improvement in patient outcomes; and (v) artificial intelligence (AI) can support all of the above aims, but requires advanced interdisciplinary knowledge and collaboration as well as a better medico-legal framework. Implementation of new evidence-based approaches to AF screening and rhythm management can improve outcomes in patients with AF. Additional benefits are possible with further efforts to identify and target atrial cardiomyopathy and cognitive impairment, which can be facilitated by AI., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: RBS has received lecture fees and advisory board fees from BMS/Pfizer outside this work and has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement No 648131, from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the grant agreement No 847770 (AFFECT-EU) and German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK e.V.) (8121710103); German Ministry of Research and Education (BMBF 01ZX1408A) and ERACoSysMed3 (031L0239).EAM is employee of Daiichi Sankyo Europe GmbH producing and marketing an oral anticoagulant (edoxaban). EA has received consulting / speaker fees for Biosense Webster. GB has received speaker's fees of small amount from Boston, Bayer, Daiichi, Boehringer. SB is consultant for Medtronic, Boston Scientific, Microport, and Zoll. JC has received consulting fees / honoraria fees from Acesion, Allergan, Alta Thera, Arca, lncarda, Menarini, Milestone, Sanofi, Bayer, Daiichi Sankyo, Pfizer, Abbott, Biosense Webster, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Lilly, Medtronic, Johnson and Johnson. BC has received in kind contribution for research Support from iRhythm. WC has received advisory board fees for Roche Diagnostics AG. MDM is employee of Medtronic. SZB has received fees as member of Advisory Board in Bristol Myers Squibb-Pfizer. DD has received fees from Abbott, Astra Zenica, Bayer, Bosten Scientific, Bristol Myers Squibb-Pfizer, Medtonic, Zoll. LE has received lecture Honoria from Medtronic, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichy Sankyo, Bayer, MMS, Pfizer, Sanofi and received research grants from DFG and DGK. CE is employee of Preventicus GmbH. LF has received institutional research grants and non-financial support from European Union, DFG, British Heart Foundation, Medical Research Council (UK), NIHR, and several biomedical companies. The Institute of Cardiovascular Research, University of Birmingham, has received an Accelerator Award by the British Heart Foundation M/18/2/34218. LF is listed as inventor of two patents held by University of Birmingham (Atrial Fibrillation Therapy WO 2015140571, Markers for Atrial Fibrillation WO 2016012783). BF receiving fees from Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer Alliance, Bayer, Daiichi Sankyo, Omron. (largely speaker fees and travel support for speaking at session or official satellites of large international/continental society meetings) and investigator-initiated research grants to the institution from Bristol-Myers and Squibb and Pfizer Alliance and Ownership / Employee of Nil. LG and AZ are employees of Roche Diagnostics International Ltd. AG has received funding from Daiichi Sankyo, Astra Zenica, Bayer, Bristol Myers Squibb-Pfizer, Viola, Medtonic, Berlin Charitè. JHS has received Advisory board fees in Medtronic and Speaker fee from Medtronic. KGH has received fees from Abbott, Alexion, AMARIN, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Biotronik, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers-Squibb, Daiichi Sankyo, Edwards Lifesciences, Medtronic, Pfizer, Premier Research, SUN Pharma and W. L. Gare & Associates and Research Grants from Bayer Vital, Sanofi-Aventis. JSH received fees from Boston Scientific, Servier, Bayer, Myokardia, Bristol-Myers-Squibb, Pfizer, and research grants from Medtronic, Boston Scientific, Bristol-Myers-Squibb, Abbott. HH has received lecture and consultancy fees from Abbott, Biotronik, Bristol-Myers-Squibb- Pfizer, Medscape, Daiichi Sankyo, Springer Healthcare Ltd and receive un conditional research grants through the Univerity of Antwerp and/or University of Hasselt from Abbott, Bayer, Biotronik, Biosense-Webster, Fibrickeck/Qompium, Medtronic, Bristol-Myers-Squibb- Pfizer, Boston Scientific, Daiichi Sankyo and Boehringer Ingelheim. RH has received speacker fees from BI, Bayer and Bristol-Myers-Squibb- Pfizer and AZ. TH is CEO of Preventicus GmbH. DK has received funding from Bayer, AtriCure, Protherics Medicines Development and Myokardia and Research grant from rants from the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR CDF-2015-08-074 RATE-AF; NIHR HTA-130280 DaRe2THINK; NIHR EME- 132974 D2T-NV), the British Heart Foundation (PG/17/55/33087 and AA/18/2/34218), EU/EFPIA IMI (BigData@Heart 116074),the European Society of Cardiology supported by educationalgrants from Boehringer Ingelheim/BMS-Pfizer Alliance/Bayer/Daiichi Sankyo/Boston Scientific, the NIHR/the University of Ox- ford Biomedical Research Centre, and British Heart Foundation/ the University of Birmingham Accelerator Award (STEEER-AF NCT04396418), Amomed Pharma, and IRCCS San Raffaele/Menarini (beta-blockers in Heart Failure Collaborative Group NCT0083244). MK is employee of Bristol-Myers and Squibb. CL has received fees from medtonic, Boston Scientific, Biotronik and Bristol-Myers and Squibb- Pfizer and research grants from Rennes Univerity, Metronik, Biotonik and Boston Scientific. DL has received research grant for EHRA-PATHS, NovoNordisk Young Investigator Award. MLL has received lecture fees from Bristol-Myers and Squibb and research grant from H2020 AFFECT-EU (grant No. 847770). SM has received research grant from Daiichi Sankyo (EPDAURUS IIT) and Bristol-Myers and Squibb (APPROACH ACS AF IIT). JLM has received Abbott, Boston Scientific, Biotronik, Boehringer Ingelheim, Sanofi, Microport and received research grants from Medtronic, Abbott, Microport, Biosense. RM is employee of Medtronic. LM is Stockholder for Galgomedical and Corify and receiving consuting fees from Abbott, Biosense-Webster, Bosten Scientific, Medtronik and receiving research grants from Abbott, Biosense-Webster, Bosten Scientific, Medtronik. LN has received consulting fees from Bristol-Myers and Squibb- Pfizer. GP is employee of Bayer AG. HP has received consulting fees from Abbott, Biosense-Webster, Bosten Scientific, Medtronik and receiving research grants from Abbott, Bayer, Biosense-Webster, Bosten Scientific, Medtronik, Bristol-Myers and Squibb- Pfizer. MR has received consulting fees for Medtonic, Arca BiopharmaInc, Roche and received research grants from Dutch Heart Foundation: RACE V, RED-CVD, CVON-AI, DECISION studies; grant from SJM/Abbott to institution: VIP-HF study; Grant for Medtronic to institution: Cryoballoon AF registry/biobank study. The other authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.LR has received research grants from Canadian Insititute of Health research and Byer Inc. U.S. received consultancy fees or honoraria from Università della Svizzera Italiana (USI, Switzerland), Roche Diagnostics (Switzerland), EP Solutions Inc. (Switzerland), Johnson & Johnson Medical Limited, (United Kingdom), Bayer Healthcare (Germany). U.S. is co-founder and shareholder of YourRhythmics BV, a spin-off company of the University Maastricht and Research grant from the Dutch Heart Foundation (CVON RACE V, CVON2014–09) European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Program granted to MS under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement #813716 (TRAIN-HEART Innovative Training Network), and various other programs of the European Union granted to US (ITN Network Personalize AF: Personalized Therapies for Atrial Fibrillation: a translational network – grant #860974; CATCH ME: Characterizing Atrial fibrillation by Translating its Causes into Health Modifiers in the Elderly – grant #633196; MAESTRIA: Machine Learning Artificial Intelligence Early Detection Stroke Atrial Fibrillation – grant #965286; REPAIR: Restoring cardiac mechanical function by polymeric artificial muscular tissue – grant #952166). DS has received consultation fees from Biosense Webster, Abbott, Boston Scientific, Consultant with stock option: SentiAR, Arga Medtech. RS is employee of Daiichi Sankyo Europe GmbH. DS has received consultation fees from Boston Scientific, Abbott and Research grant from Biosense Webster. ES has received lecture fees from Bayer, Bristol-Myers and Squibb- Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Johnson & Johnson, Merck Sharp & Dohme and Sanofi. DT has received lecture fees from Bayer Vital, Bristol-Myers and Squibb- Pfizer, Daiichi Sankyo, Medtonic, Zoll CMS, Sanofi, St. Jude Medical and research grant from Daiichi Sankyo. MTH is employee/owner of American Foundation of women's Health /StopAfib.org and employee/owner of True Hills Inc.. BV is employee of Bayer AG. RW has received consultation fees from Boston Scientific, Biotronic, Pfizer, Daiichi Sankyo, Bayer, Adagio Medical and Research grant from Bristol-Myers and Squibb- Pfizer, Boston Scientific. CW has received consulation fees from Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Novartis and research grant from BMBF, AFNET, DZHK, Biotronik. MW is employee and shareholder of Sanofi. SW has received Consulting fees from Boston Scientific, Abbott, Bayer, Bristol-Myers and Squibb- Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim and research grant from Boston Scientific. HW is employee and stockholder of Pfizer Germany. MDZ has received advisory and speaker fee from Bristol-Myers and Squibb- Pfizer. PK reports grants and non-financial support from BMBF (German Ministry of Education and Research), grants from Sanofi and Abbott, grants and non-financial support from EHRA (European Heart Rhythm Association), and grants from German Heart Foundation and DZHK (German Center for Cardiovascular Research), during the conduct of the study, and grants from European Union, British Heart Foundation, Leducq Foundation, Medical Research Council (UK), and non-financial support from German Centre for Heart Research, outside the submitted work; in addition, P.K. has a patent Atrial Fibrillation Therapy WO 2015140571 issued to University of Birmingham and a patent Markers for Atrial Fibrillation WO 2016012783 issued to University of Birmingham., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: Atrial fibrillation (AF) carries a substantial risk of ischemic stroke and other complications, and estimates suggest that over a third of cases remain undiagnosed. AF detection is particularly pressing in stroke survivors. To tailor AF screening efforts, we explored German health claims data for routinely available predictors of incident AF in primary care and post-stroke using machine learning methods., Methods and Results: We combined AF predictors in patients over 45 years of age using claims data in the InGef database (n = 1 476 391) for (i) incident AF and (ii) AF post-stroke, using machine learning techniques. Between 2013-2016, new-onset AF was diagnosed in 98 958 patients (6.7%). Published risk factors for AF including male sex, hypertension, heart failure, valvular heart disease, and chronic kidney disease were confirmed. Component-wise gradient boosting identified additional predictors for AF from ICD-codes available in ambulatory care. The area under the curve (AUC) of the final, condensed model consisting of 13 predictors, was 0.829 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.826-0.833) in the internal validation, and 0.755 (95% CI 0.603-0.890) in a prospective validation cohort (n = 661). The AUC for post-stroke AF was of 0.67 (95% CI 0.651-0.689) in the internal validation data set, and 0.766 (95% CI 0.731-0.800) in the prospective clinical cohort., Conclusion: ICD-coded clinical variables selected by machine learning can improve the identification of patients at risk of newly diagnosed AF. Using this readily available, automatically coded information can target AF screening efforts to identify high-risk populations in primary care and stroke survivors., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

The role of subclinical atrial fibrillation as a cause of cryptogenic stroke is unambiguously established. Long-term electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring remains the sole method for determining its presence following a negative initial workup. This position paper of the European Society of Cardiology Working Group on e-Cardiology first presents the definition, epidemiology, and clinical impact of cryptogenic ischaemic stroke, as well as its aetiopathogenic association with occult atrial fibrillation. Then, classification methods for ischaemic stroke will be discussed, along with their value in providing meaningful guidance for further diagnostic efforts, given disappointing findings of studies based on the embolic stroke of unknown significance construct. Patient selection criteria for long-term ECG monitoring, crucial for determining pre-test probability of subclinical atrial fibrillation, will also be discussed. Subsequently, the two major classes of long-term ECG monitoring tools (non-invasive and invasive) will be presented, with a discussion of each method's pitfalls and related algorithms to improve diagnostic yield and accuracy. Although novel mobile health (mHealth) devices, including smartphones and smartwatches, have dramatically increased atrial fibrillation detection post ischaemic stroke, the latest evidence appears to favour implantable cardiac monitors as the modality of choice; however, the answer to whether they should constitute the initial diagnostic choice for all cryptogenic stroke patients remains elusive. Finally, institutional and organizational issues, such as reimbursement, responsibility for patient management, data ownership, and handling will be briefly touched upon, despite the fact that guidance remains scarce and widespread clinical application and experience are the most likely sources for definite answers., Competing Interests: Conflicts of interest: The authors report no relationships that could be perceived as a conflict of interest., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: Clinical practice guidelines restrict rhythm control therapy to patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF). The EAST-AFNET 4 trial demonstrated that early, systematic rhythm control improves clinical outcomes compared to symptom-directed rhythm control., Methods and Results: This prespecified EAST-AFNET 4 analysis compared the effect of early rhythm control therapy in asymptomatic patients (EHRA score I) to symptomatic patients. Primary outcome was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, stroke, or hospitalization with worsening of heart failure or acute coronary syndrome, analyzed in a time-to-event analysis. At baseline, 801/2633 (30.4%) patients were asymptomatic [mean age 71.3 years, 37.5% women, mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 3.4, 169/801 (21.1%) heart failure]. Asymptomatic patients randomized to early rhythm control (395/801) received similar rhythm control therapies compared to symptomatic patients [e.g. AF ablation at 24 months: 75/395 (19.0%) in asymptomatic; 176/910 (19.3%) symptomatic patients, P = 0.672]. Anticoagulation and treatment of concomitant cardiovascular conditions was not different between symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. The primary outcome occurred in 79/395 asymptomatic patients randomized to early rhythm control and in 97/406 patients randomized to usual care (hazard ratio 0.76, 95% confidence interval [0.6; 1.03]), almost identical to symptomatic patients. At 24 months follow-up, change in symptom status was not different between randomized groups (P = 0.19)., Conclusion: The clinical benefit of early, systematic rhythm control was not different between asymptomatic and symptomatic patients in EAST-AFNET 4. These results call for a shared decision discussing the benefits of rhythm control therapy in all patients with recently diagnosed AF and concomitant cardiovascular conditions (EAST-AFNET 4; ISRCTN04708680; NCT01288352; EudraCT2010-021258-20)., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: Classical cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs), biomarkers, and common genetic variation have been suggested for risk assessment of atrial fibrillation (AF). To evaluate their clinical potential, we analysed their individual and combined ability of AF prediction., Methods and Results: In N = 6945 individuals of the FINRISK 1997 cohort, we assessed the predictive value of CVRF, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and 145 recently identified single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) combined in a developed polygenic risk score (PRS) for incident AF. Over a median follow-up of 17.8 years, n = 551 participants (7.9%) developed AF. In multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models, NT-proBNP [hazard ratio (HR) of log transformed values 4.77; 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.66-6.22; P < 0.001] and the PRS (HR 2.18; 95% CI 1.88-2.53; P < 0.001) were significantly related to incident AF. The discriminatory ability improved asymptotically with increasing numbers of SNPs. Compared with a clinical model, AF risk prediction was significantly improved by addition of NT-proBNP and the PRS. The C-statistic for the combination of CVRF, NT-proBNP, and the PRS reached 0.83 compared with 0.79 for CVRF only (P < 0.001). A replication in the Dutch Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort revealed similar results. Comparing the highest vs. lowest quartile, NT-proBNP and the PRS both showed a more than three-fold increased AF risk. Age remained the strongest risk factor with a 16.7-fold increased risk of AF in the highest quartile., Conclusion: The PRS and the established biomarker NT-proBNP showed comparable predictive ability. Both provided incremental predictive value over standard clinical variables. Further improvements for the PRS are likely with the discovery of additional SNPs., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: There is inconsistent evidence on the relation of alcohol intake with incident atrial fibrillation (AF), in particular at lower doses. We assessed the association between alcohol consumption, biomarkers, and incident AF across the spectrum of alcohol intake in European cohorts., Methods and Results: In a community-based pooled cohort, we followed 107 845 individuals for the association between alcohol consumption, including types of alcohol and drinking patterns, and incident AF. We collected information on classical cardiovascular risk factors and incident heart failure (HF) and measured the biomarkers N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin I. The median age of individuals was 47.8 years, 48.3% were men. The median alcohol consumption was 3 g/day. N = 5854 individuals developed AF (median follow-up time: 13.9 years). In a sex- and cohort-stratified Cox regression analysis alcohol consumption was non-linearly and positively associated with incident AF. The hazard ratio for one drink (12 g) per day was 1.16, 95% CI 1.11-1.22, P < 0.001. Associations were similar across types of alcohol. In contrast, alcohol consumption at lower doses was associated with reduced risk of incident HF. The association between alcohol consumption and incident AF was neither fully explained by cardiac biomarker concentrations nor by the occurrence of HF., Conclusions: In contrast to other cardiovascular diseases such as HF, even modest habitual alcohol intake of 1.2 drinks/day was associated with an increased risk of AF, which needs to be considered in AF prevention., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: The risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) and its complications continues to increase, despite good progress in preventing AF-related strokes., Methods and Results: This article summarizes the outcomes of the 7th Consensus Conference of the Atrial Fibrillation NETwork (AFNET) and the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) held in Lisbon in March 2019. Sixty-five international AF specialists met to present new data and find consensus on pressing issues in AF prevention, management and future research to improve care for patients with AF and prevent AF-related complications. This article is the main outcome of an interactive, iterative discussion between breakout specialist groups and the meeting plenary. AF patients have dynamic risk profiles requiring repeated assessment and risk-based therapy stratification to optimize quality of care. Interrogation of deeply phenotyped datasets with outcomes will lead to a better understanding of the cardiac and systemic effects of AF, interacting with comorbidities and predisposing factors, enabling stratified therapy. New proposals include an algorithm for the acute management of patients with AF and heart failure, a call for a refined, data-driven assessment of stroke risk, suggestions for anticoagulation use in special populations, and a call for rhythm control therapy selection based on risk of AF recurrence., Conclusion: The remaining morbidity and mortality in patients with AF needs better characterization. Likely drivers of the remaining AF-related problems are AF burden, potentially treatable by rhythm control therapy, and concomitant conditions, potentially treatable by treating these conditions. Identifying the drivers of AF-related complications holds promise for stratified therapy., (Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. © The Author(s) 2020. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke are inextricably connected, with classical Virchow pathophysiology explaining thromboembolism through blood stasis in the fibrillating left atrium. This conceptualization has been reinforced by the remarkable efficacy of oral anticoagulant (OAC) for stroke prevention in AF. A number of observations showing that the presence of AF is neither necessary nor sufficient for stroke, cast doubt on the causal role of AF as a villain in vascular brain injury (VBI). The requirement for additional risk factors before AF increases stroke risk; temporal disconnect of AF from a stroke in patients with no AF for months before stroke during continuous ECG monitoring but manifesting AF only after stroke; and increasing recognition of the role of atrial cardiomyopathy and atrial substrate in AF-related stroke, and also stroke without AF, have led to rethinking the pathogenetic model of cardioembolic stroke. This is quite separate from recognition that in AF, shared cardiovascular risk factors can lead both to non-embolic stroke, or emboli from the aorta and carotid arteries. Meanwhile, VBI is now expanded to include dementia and cognitive decline: research is required to see if reduced by OAC. A changed conceptual model with less focus on the arrhythmia, and more on atrial substrate/cardiomyopathy causing VBI both in the presence or absence of AF, is required to allow us to better prevent AF-related VBI. It could direct focus towards prevention of the atrial cardiomyopathy though much work is required to better define this entity before the balance between AF as villain or bystander can be determined., (Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. © The Author(s) 2020.)

Aims: Natriuretic peptides are extensively studied biomarkers for atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF). Their role in the pathogenesis of both diseases is not entirely understood and previous studies several single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at the NPPA-NPPB locus associated with natriuretic peptides have been identified. We investigated the causal relationship between natriuretic peptides and AF as well as HF using a Mendelian randomization approach., Methods and Results: N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (N = 6669), B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) (N = 6674), and mid-regional pro atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) (N = 6813) were measured in the FINRISK 1997 cohort. N = 30 common SNPs related to NT-proBNP, BNP, and MR-proANP were selected from studies. We performed six Mendelian randomizations for all three natriuretic peptide biomarkers and for both outcomes, AF and HF, separately. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) based on multiple SNPs were used as genetic instrumental variable in Mendelian randomizations. Polygenic risk scores were significantly associated with the three natriuretic peptides. Polygenic risk scores were not significantly associated with incident AF nor HF. Most cardiovascular risk factors showed significant confounding percentages, but no association with PRS. A causal relation except for small causal betas is unlikely., Conclusion: In our Mendelian randomization approach, we confirmed an association between common genetic variation at the NPPA-NPPB locus and natriuretic peptides. A strong causal relationship between natriuretic peptides and incidence of AF as well as HF at the community-level was ruled out. Therapeutic approaches targeting natriuretic peptides will therefore very likely work through indirect mechanisms., (© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia associated with an increased stroke risk. The use of multivariable prediction models could result in more efficient primary AF screening by selecting at-risk individuals. We aimed to determine which model may be best suitable for increasing efficiency of future primary AF screening efforts., Methods and Results: We performed a systematic review on multivariable models derived, validated, and/or augmented for AF prediction in community cohorts using Pubmed, Embase, and CINAHL (Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature) through 1 August 2019. We performed meta-analysis of model discrimination with the summary C-statistic as the primary expression of associations using a random effects model. In case of high heterogeneity, we calculated a 95% prediction interval. We used the CHARMS (Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies) checklist for risk of bias assessment. We included 27 studies with a total of 2 978 659 unique participants among 20 cohorts with mean age ranging from 42 to 76 years. We identified 21 risk models used for incident AF risk in community cohorts. Three models showed significant summary discrimination despite high heterogeneity: CHARGE-AF (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology) [summary C-statistic 0.71; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.66-0.76], FHS-AF (Framingham Heart Study risk score for AF) (summary C-statistic 0.70; 95% CI 0.64-0.76), and CHA2DS2-VASc (summary C-statistic 0.69; 95% CI 0.64-0.74). Of these, CHARGE-AF and FHS-AF had originally been derived for AF incidence prediction. Only CHARGE-AF, which comprises easily obtainable measurements and medical history elements, showed significant summary discrimination among cohorts that had applied a uniform (5-year) risk prediction window., Conclusion: CHARGE-AF appeared most suitable for primary screening purposes in terms of performance and applicability in older community cohorts of predominantly European descent., (Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. © The Author(s) 2020. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Aims: Limited evidence is available on the temporal relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) and ischaemic stroke and their impact on mortality in the community. We sought to understand the temporal relationship of AF and ischaemic stroke and to determine the sequence of disease onset in relation to mortality., Methods and Results: Across five prospective community cohorts of the Biomarkers for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe (BiomarCaRE) project we assessed baseline cardiovascular risk factors in 100 132 individuals, median age 46.1 (25th-75th percentile 35.8-57.5) years, 48.4% men. We followed them for incident ischaemic stroke and AF and determined the relation of subsequent disease diagnosis with overall mortality. Over a median follow-up of 16.1 years, N = 4555 individuals were diagnosed solely with AF, N = 2269 had an ischaemic stroke but no AF diagnosed, and N = 898 developed both, ischaemic stroke and AF. Temporal relationships showed a clustering of diagnosis of both diseases within the years around the diagnosis of the other disease. In multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analyses with time-dependent covariates subsequent diagnosis of AF after ischaemic stroke was associated with increased mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 4.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.17-7.54; P < 0.001] which was also apparent when ischaemic stroke followed after the diagnosis of AF (HR 3.08, 95% CI 1.90-5.00; P < 0.001)., Conclusion: The temporal relations of ischaemic stroke and AF appear to be bidirectional. Ischaemic stroke may precede detection of AF by years. The subsequent diagnosis of both diseases significantly increases mortality risk. Future research needs to investigate the common underlying systemic disease processes., (Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. © The Author(s) 2019. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Aims: The combination of oral anticoagulation with a P2Y12 inhibitor and aspirin in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is associated with a high bleeding risk. Dual antithrombotic therapy (DAT) with omission of aspirin is a promising option to reduce bleedings, but carries a yet unknown risk of ischaemic events. We therefore sought to systematically review and analyse randomized controlled trials investigating DAT vs. triple antithrombotic therapy (TAT) in patients with AF following PCI and/or acute coronary syndrome (ACS)., Methods and Results: We included four trials with overall 9317 patients (5039 DAT, 4278 TAT) in our analysis. Dual antithrombotic therapy was associated with a significant reduction in thrombolysis in myocardial infarction major bleeding [hazard ratio (HR) 0.52, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.42-0.65; P = 0.0001], while the composite trial-defined ischaemic endpoint did not differ significantly between DAT and TAT (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.79-1.22; P = 0.88). There was also no difference regarding the occurrence of myocardial infarction (MI; HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.92-1.46; P = 0.21) or stent thrombosis (HR 1.25, 95% CI 0.69-2.26; P = 0.46). Absolute numbers for MI were 131/4278 (3.1%) with TAT and 182/5039 (3.6%) with DAT, and for stent thrombosis 32/4278 (0.75%) and 52/5039 (1%), respectively. A post hoc power calculation based on the size and event rate of this meta-analysis revealed 80% power to detect a 37% and 100% increase in MI and stent thrombosis, respectively., Conclusion: Dual antithrombotic therapy significantly reduces bleedings compared with TAT and seems to have a similar effect in preventing ischaemic endpoints in AF patients post-PCI or ACS. Future investigations are needed to determine its applicability specifically in patients at high risk of ischaemic outcomes., (Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. © The Author(s) 2019. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background Atrial fibrillation is the most common serious abnormal heart rhythm, and a frequent cause of ischaemic stroke. Recent experimental studies, mainly in orchiectomised rats, report a relationship between sex hormones and atrial electrophysiology and electroanatomy. We aimed to evaluate whether low testosterone levels are predictive for atrial fibrillation and/or ischaemic stroke in men and women. Design and methods The serum total testosterone levels were measured at baseline in a population cohort of 7892 subjects (3876 male, 4016 female), aged 25-74 years, using a commercially available immunoassay. The main outcome measure was atrial fibrillation or ischaemic stroke, whichever came first. Results During a median follow-up of 13.8 years, a total of 629 subjects (8.0%) suffered from incident atrial fibrillation ( n = 426) and/or ischemic stroke ( n = 276). Cox regression analyses, adjusted for age (used as time-scale), geographical region, total cholesterol (log), high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (log), hypertension medication, known diabetes, smoking status, waist-hip-ratio, and time of blood drawn, documented differential predictive value of low sex-specific testosterone levels for atrial fibrillation and/or ischaemic stroke, in men and in women: Increasing levels were associated with lower risk in men (hazard ratio per one nmol/l increase 0.98 (95% confidence interval 0.93-1.00); p = 0.049). On the other hand, increasing testosterone levels were associated with higher risk in women (hazard ratio per one nmol/l increase 1.17 (95% confidence interval 1.02-1.36); p = 0.031). Conclusion Our study indicates that low testosterone levels are associated with increased risk of future atrial fibrillation and/or ischaemic stroke in men, while they are protective in women.

Aims: As promising compounds to lower Lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)) are emerging, the need for a precise characterization and comparability of the Lp(a)-associated cardiovascular risk is increasing. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the distribution of Lp(a) concentrations across the European population, to characterize the association with cardiovascular outcomes and to provide high comparability of the Lp(a)-associated cardiovascular risk by use of centrally determined Lp(a) concentrations., Methods and Results: Based on the Biomarkers for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe (BiomarCaRE)-project, we analysed data of 56 804 participants from 7 prospective population-based cohorts across Europe with a maximum follow-up of 24 years. All Lp(a) measurements were performed in the central BiomarCaRE laboratory (Biokit Quantia Lp(a)-Test; Abbott Diagnostics). The three endpoints considered were incident major coronary events (MCE), incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, and total mortality. We found lower Lp(a) levels in Northern European cohorts (median 4.9 mg/dL) compared to central (median 7.9 mg/dL) and Southern European cohorts (10.9 mg/dL) (Jonckheere-Terpstra test P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier curves showed the highest event rate of MCE and CVD events for Lp(a) levels ≥90th percentile (log-rank test: P < 0.001 for MCE and CVD). Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, and cardiovascular risk factors revealed a significant association of Lp(a) levels with MCE and CVD with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.30 for MCE [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15‒1.46] and of 1.25 for CVD (95% CI 1.12‒1.39) for Lp(a) levels in the 67‒89th percentile and a HR of 1.49 for MCE (95% CI 1.29‒1.73) and of 1.44 for CVD (95% CI 1.25‒1.65) for Lp(a) levels ≥ 90th percentile vs. Lp(a) levels in the lowest third (P < 0.001 for all). There was no significant association between Lp(a) levels and total mortality. Subgroup analysis for a continuous version of cube root transformed Lp(a) identified the highest Lp(a)-associated risk in individuals with diabetes [HR for MCE 1.31 (95% CI 1.15‒1.50)] and for CVD 1.22 (95% CI 1.08‒1.38) compared to those without diabetes [HR for MCE 1.15 (95% CI 1.08‒1.21; HR for CVD 1.13 (1.07-1.19)] while no difference of the Lp(a)- associated risk were seen for other cardiovascular high risk states. The addition of Lp(a) levels to a prognostic model for MCE and CVD revealed only a marginal but significant C-index discrimination measure increase (0.001 for MCE and CVD; P < 0.05) and net reclassification improvement (0.010 for MCE and 0.011 for CVD)., Conclusion: In this large dataset on harmonized Lp(a) determination, we observed regional differences within the European population. Elevated Lp(a) was robustly associated with an increased risk for MCE and CVD in particular among individuals with diabetes. These results may lead to better identification of target populations who might benefit from future Lp(a)-lowering therapies., (© The Author 2017. Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Introduction: Stratification for subsequent coronary events among patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is of considerable interest because of the potential to guide secondary preventive therapies. Recently, we identified eight microRNAs (miRNAs), which facilitated acute coronary syndrome (ACS) diagnosis. In this study, we aimed to evaluate their potential role as prognostic biomarkers for cardiovascular disease., Methods: The serum concentrations of eight candidate miRNAs -miR-19a, miR-19b, miR-132, miR-140-3p, miR-142-5p, miR-150, miR-186, and miR-210 were measured in a cohort of 1112 patients with documented CAD-including 430 patients with ACS and 682 patients with stable angina pectoris. Cardiovascular death was the main outcome measure., Results: During a median follow-up of 4.0 years, most miRNAs reliably predicted cardiovascular death in ACS patients. Cox regression analyses indicated that in particular miR-132 (HR 2.85 per 1 SD increase, P = 0.022), miR-140-3p (HR 2.88 per 1 SD increase, P = 0.022), and miR-210 (HR 3.10 per 1 SD increase, P = 0.039) were able to precisely predict cardiovascular death. Circulating miR-132, miR-140-3p, and miR-210 clearly improved various model performance measures, including C-statistics (AUC [area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve] for miR-132: 0.737; AUC for miR-140-3p: 0.756; AUC for miR-210: 0.754)., Conclusions: This is the largest study so far evaluating the prognostic value of circulating miRNAs in cardiovascular disease. Our study shows that single miRNAs derived from peripheral blood predict mortality in secondary prevention settings, and thereby represent valuable biomarkers for risk estimation in CAD., (Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. © The Author 2016. For permissions please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Aims: Serial measurements of high-sensitivity troponin are used to rule out acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with an assay specific cutoff at the 99th percentile. Here, we evaluated the performance of a single admission troponin with a lower cutoff combined with a low risk electrocardiogram (ECG) to rule out AMI., Methods: Troponin I measured with a high-sensitivity assay (hs-TnI) was determined at admission in 1040 patients presenting with suspected AMI (BACC study). To rule out AMI we calculated the negative predictive value (NPV) utilizing the optimal hs-TnI cutoff combined with a low risk ECG. The results were validated in 3566 patients with suspected AMI [2-h Accelerated Diagnostic Protocol to Assess Patients With Chest Pain Symptoms Using Contemporary Troponins as the Only Biomarker (ADAPT) studies]. Patients were followed for 6 or 12 months., Results: 184 of all patients were diagnosed with AMI. An hs-TnI cutoff of 3 ng/L resulted in a NPV of 99.3% (CI 97.3-100.0), ruling out 35% of all non-AMI patients. Adding the information of a low risk ECG resulted in a 100% (CI 97.5-100.0) NPV (28% ruled out). The 2 validation cohorts replicated the high NPV of this approach. The follow-up mortality in the ruled out population was low (0 deaths in BACC and Stenocardia, 1 death in ADAPT)., Conclusions: A single hs-TnI measurement on admission combined with a low risk ECG appears to rule out AMI safely without need for serial troponin testing., Trial Registration: www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02355457)., (© 2016 American Association for Clinical Chemistry.)

Aims: To evaluate the diagnostic performance of high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) and other novel biomarkers for diagnosing non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) in patients with atrial fibrillation., Methods: In an acute chest pain cohort (N=1673), mean age 61.4±13.6 (34% female), we measured hsTnI and 13 established and novel biomarkers reflecting ischaemia, necrosis, inflammation, myocardial stress, angiogenesis on admission and after three hours in order to investigate their diagnostic accuracy for NSTEMI., Results: In atrial fibrillation patients (N=299) hsTnI on admission had the best discriminatory ability for NSTEMI (area under the curve 0.97) with only two novel biomarkers, copeptin and heart-type fatty acid binding protein, having area under the curve >0.70. Measured biomarkers showed comparable discriminatory ability in atrial fibrillation and non-atrial fibrillation patients. The combination of hsTnI on admission with additional biomarkers did not clinically significantly improve diagnostic performance. In atrial fibrillation patients, hsTnI concentrations ⩽21.7 ng/L (99th percentile in a healthy German cohort) on admission gave a negative predictive value of ~100% (95% confidence interval 97-100%). The combination of hsTnI on admission and absolute change of hsTnI concentration after three hours of ⩾40 ng/L resulted in a positive predictive value of 81.2% and sensitivity of 88.6%. Diagnostic accuracy was validated in an independent cohort (N=1076)., Conclusion: The diagnostic accuracy of hsTnI in patients with acute chest pain and atrial fibrillation is high and comparable to those without atrial fibrillation. Absolute change in hsTnI concentration enhanced diagnostic performance. No clinically relevant improvement was achieved by adding other biomarkers., (© The European Society of Cardiology 2015.)

Aims: Our aims were to evaluate the distribution of troponin I concentrations in population cohorts across Europe, to characterize the association with cardiovascular outcomes, to determine the predictive value beyond the variables used in the ESC SCORE, to test a potentially clinically relevant cut-off value, and to evaluate the improved eligibility for statin therapy based on elevated troponin I concentrations retrospectively., Methods and Results: Based on the Biomarkers for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe (BiomarCaRE) project, we analysed individual level data from 10 prospective population-based studies including 74 738 participants. We investigated the value of adding troponin I levels to conventional risk factors for prediction of cardiovascular disease by calculating measures of discrimination (C-index) and net reclassification improvement (NRI). We further tested the clinical implication of statin therapy based on troponin concentration in 12 956 individuals free of cardiovascular disease in the JUPITER study. Troponin I remained an independent predictor with a hazard ratio of 1.37 for cardiovascular mortality, 1.23 for cardiovascular disease, and 1.24 for total mortality. The addition of troponin I information to a prognostic model for cardiovascular death constructed of ESC SCORE variables increased the C-index discrimination measure by 0.007 and yielded an NRI of 0.048, whereas the addition to prognostic models for cardiovascular disease and total mortality led to lesser C-index discrimination and NRI increment. In individuals above 6 ng/L of troponin I, a concentration near the upper quintile in BiomarCaRE (5.9 ng/L) and JUPITER (5.8 ng/L), rosuvastatin therapy resulted in higher absolute risk reduction compared with individuals <6 ng/L of troponin I, whereas the relative risk reduction was similar., Conclusion: In individuals free of cardiovascular disease, the addition of troponin I to variables of established risk score improves prediction of cardiovascular death and cardiovascular disease., (© The Author 2016. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Background: Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) relies on the identification of individuals at increased risk of developing cardiovascular events. Circulating biomarkers mirroring the (subclinical) disease process are valuable tools for CVD risk prediction. Evidence is accumulating that the clinical presentation and mechanisms for CVD differ between men and women. A systematic review of sex-specific data was performed on biomarker levels and their association with CVD in primary prevention in order to investigate the availability of sex-specific data and to explore for any differences in the associations between men and women., Methods and Results: PubMed MEDLINE and Embase were searched on 2 February 2014 and updated on 15 January 2015. Biomarkers included represented pathophysiological pathways of lipids, inflammation, kidney function, and of the heart. Data on patient characteristics, sex-specific biomarker levels, biomarker association with future CVD events and clinical value were extracted. Only 54 studies of 360 publications provided sex-specific information. Most of the remaining 306 publications not providing sex-specific results only corrected for sex in multivariable models. The additional clinical utility of biomarkers was reported in seven publications, one of which was stratified by sex., Conclusion: Sex-specific data on biomarkers for CVD in the general population exist, but it is underreported. There is inconsistency in sex-specific differences in levels of traditional biomarkers and in their relation to CVD. To improve personalized cardiovascular diagnoses and care for men and women, reporting sex-specific data on clinical utility of biomarkers is crucial and should be encouraged in publications of sufficiently powered studies.

Aims: Heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1) confers protection to the vasculature and suppresses inflammatory properties of monocytes and macrophages. It is unclear how HO-1 determines the extent of vascular dysfunction in mice and humans., Methods and Results: Decreased HO-1 activity and expression was paralleled by increased aortic expression and activity of the nicotinamide dinucleotide phosphate oxidase Nox2 in HO-1 deficient Hmox1⁻/⁻ and Hmox1(⁺/⁻) compared with Hmox1⁺/⁺ mice. When subjected to angiotensin II-infusion, streptozotocin-induced diabetes mellitus and aging, HO-1 deficient mice showed increased vascular dysfunction inversely correlated with HO activity. In a primary prevention population-based cohort, we assessed length polymorphisms of the HMOX1 promoter region and established a bipolar frequency pattern of allele length (long vs. short repeats) in 4937 individuals. Monocytic HMOX1 mRNA expression was positively correlated with flow-mediated dilation and inversely with CD14 mRNA expression indicating pro-inflammatory monocytes in 733 hypertensive individuals of this cohort. Hmox1⁻/⁻ mice showed drastically increased expression of the chemokine receptor CCR2 in monocytes and the aorta. Angiotensin II-infused Hmox1⁻/⁻ mice had amplified endothelial inflammation in vivo, significantly increased aortic infiltration of pro-inflammatory CD11b⁺ Ly6C(hi) monocytes and Ly6G⁺ neutrophils and were marked by Ly6C(hi) monocytosis in the circulation and an increased blood pressure response. Finally, individuals with unfavourable HMOX1 gene promoter length had increased prevalence of arterial hypertension and reduced cumulative survival after a median follow-up of 7.23 years., Conclusions: Heme oxygenase-1 is a regulator of vascular function in hypertension via determining the phenotype of inflammatory circulating and infiltrating monocytes with possible implications for all-cause mortality., (Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. © The Author 2015. For permissions please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objectives: Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has become an established procedure in patients with aortic stenosis and high surgical risk. Experience with first-generation transcatheter heart valves (THVs) is broad but limitations, e.g. paravalvular regurgitation, have been demonstrated. Much hope rests on the recently Conformité Européenne mark approved next-generation devices to improve results in these patients. However, apart from the initial approval studies, clinical data with these new devices are still scarce. We aimed to assess short-term outcomes of 200 consecutive patients who underwent transapical TAVI with next-generation THV at our institution., Methods: Transapical TAVI was performed in 200 consecutive patients 80.5±6.7 years old (38.5% female) at high surgical risk (log EuroSCORE 20.2±16.5%). Devices implanted were the Engager (Medtronic, Inc., Minneapolis, MN, USA; n=50), JenaValve (JenaValve Technology, Munich, Germany; n=88) and Symetis Acurate (Symetis SA, Ecublens, Switzerland; n=62) THV that were selected by the heart team on an individual basis. Data at baseline, during the procedure and follow-up were analysed according to standardized Valve Academic Research Consortium end points. Median follow-up was 219 days., Results: Implantation was successful in 96.5% of cases. Valve function improved significantly with an increase in effective orifice area from 0.8±0.4 to 1.8±0.3 cm2 and a reduction in mean transvalvalvular gradients from 34.0±17.0 to 11.2±5.4 mmHg. Paravalvular regurgitation was none or trace in 70.3% of patients, Grade 1 in 26.1%, and Grade 2 in 3.5%. No patients developed aortic regurgitation>Grade 2. Major access site complications occurred in 6.5%, major stroke in 1.5% and stage-3 kidney injury in 2.5% of patients. A permanent pacemaker was implanted in 20.5% of patients overall and in 8.0% for a complete heart block. At 30-day follow-up 72.8% of patients were in New York Heart Association class I or II (10.5% at baseline). Overall survival was 91.5% at 30 days and 73.9% at 1 year., Conclusions: In a real-world clinical setting, next-generation transapical THV yielded positive haemodynamic results. The incidence of relevant paravalvular regurgitation was scarce in this group and clinical outcomes were encouraging during short-term follow-up. Long-term follow-up is required to investigate the durability of these new devices., (© The Author 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery. All rights reserved.)

Aims: B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and C-reactive protein (CRP) predict atrial fibrillation (AF) risk. However, their risk stratification abilities in the broad community remain uncertain. We sought to improve risk stratification for AF using biomarker information., Methods and Results: We ascertained AF incidence in 18 556 Whites and African Americans from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC, n=10 675), Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS, n = 5043), and Framingham Heart Study (FHS, n = 2838), followed for 5 years (prediction horizon). We added BNP (ARIC/CHS: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; FHS: BNP), CRP, or both to a previously reported AF risk score, and assessed model calibration and predictive ability [C-statistic, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI)]. We replicated models in two independent European cohorts: Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility Reykjavik Study (AGES), n = 4467; Rotterdam Study (RS), n = 3203. B-type natriuretic peptide and CRP were significantly associated with AF incidence (n = 1186): hazard ratio per 1-SD ln-transformed biomarker 1.66 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.56-1.76], P < 0.0001 and 1.18 (95% CI, 1.11-1.25), P < 0.0001, respectively. Model calibration was sufficient (BNP, χ(2) = 17.0; CRP, χ(2) = 10.5; BNP and CRP, χ(2) = 13.1). B-type natriuretic peptide improved the C-statistic from 0.765 to 0.790, yielded an IDI of 0.027 (95% CI, 0.022-0.032), a relative IDI of 41.5%, and a continuous NRI of 0.389 (95% CI, 0.322-0.455). The predictive ability of CRP was limited (C-statistic increment 0.003). B-type natriuretic peptide consistently improved prediction in AGES and RS., Conclusion: B-type natriuretic peptide, not CRP, substantially improved AF risk prediction beyond clinical factors in an independently replicated, heterogeneous population. B-type natriuretic peptide may serve as a benchmark to evaluate novel putative AF risk biomarkers., (Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology 2014. This work is written by (a) US Government employee(s) and is in the public domain in the US.)

Aims: Our aim was to test the prediction and clinical applicability of high-sensitivity assayed troponin I for incident cardiovascular events in a general middle-aged European population., Methods and Results: High-sensitivity assayed troponin I was measured in the Scottish Heart Health Extended Cohort (n = 15 340) with 2171 cardiovascular events (including acute coronary heart disease and probable ischaemic strokes), 714 coronary deaths (25% of all deaths), 1980 myocardial infarctions, and 797 strokes of all kinds during an average of 20 years follow-up. Detection rate above the limit of detection (LoD) was 74.8% in the overall population and 82.6% in men and 67.0% in women. Troponin I assayed by the high-sensitivity method was associated with future cardiovascular risk after full adjustment such as that individuals in the fourth category had 2.5 times the risk compared with those without detectable troponin I (P < 0.0001). These associations remained significant even for those individuals in whom levels of contemporary-sensitivity troponin I measures were not detectable. Addition of troponin I levels to clinical variables led to significant increases in risk prediction with significant improvement of the c-statistic (P < 0.0001) and net reclassification (P < 0.0001). A threshold of 4.7 pg/mL in women and 7.0 pg/mL in men is suggested to detect individuals at high risk for future cardiovascular events., Conclusion: Troponin I, measured with a high-sensitivity assay, is an independent predictor of cardiovascular events and might support selection of at risk individuals.

Aims: High-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol is a strong predictor of cardiovascular mortality. This work aimed to investigate whether the presence of coronary artery disease (CAD) impacts on its predictive value., Methods and Results: We studied 3141 participants (2191 males, 950 females) of the LUdwigshafen RIsk and Cardiovascular health (LURIC) study. They had a mean ± standard deviation age of 62.6 ± 10.6 years, body mass index of 27.5 ± 4.1 kg/m&sup2;, and HDL cholesterol of 38.9 ± 10.8 mg/dL. The cohort consisted of 699 people without CAD, 1515 patients with stable CAD, and 927 patients with unstable CAD. The participants were prospectively followed for cardiovascular mortality over a median (inter-quartile range) period of 9.9 (8.7-10.7) years. A total of 590 participants died from cardiovascular diseases. High-density lipoprotein cholesterol by tertiles was inversely related to cardiovascular mortality in the entire cohort (P = 0.009). There was significant interaction between HDL cholesterol and CAD in predicting the outcome (P = 0.007). In stratified analyses, HDL cholesterol was strongly associated with cardiovascular mortality in people without CAD [3rd vs. 1st tertile: HR (95% CI) = 0.37 (0.18-0.74), P = 0.005], but not in patients with stable [3rd vs. 1st tertile: HR (95% CI) = 0.81 (0.61-1.09), P = 0.159] and unstable [3rd vs. 1st tertile: HR (95% CI) = 0.91 (0.59-1.41), P = 0.675] CAD. These results were replicated by analyses in 3413 participants of the AtheroGene cohort and 5738 participants of the ESTHER cohort, and by a meta-analysis comprising all three cohorts., Conclusion: The inverse relationship of HDL cholesterol with cardiovascular mortality is weakened in patients with CAD. The usefulness of considering HDL cholesterol for cardiovascular risk stratification seems limited in such patients.