1. AN EMPIRICAL ASSESSMENT OF THE FORESEEABILITY TEST.
- Author
-
Edwards, Griffin
- Subjects
FORESEEABILITY (Law) ,TORTS ,PROXIMATE cause (Law) ,TORT reform ,INFANT mortality ,LEGAL precedent - Abstract
This Article provides empirical support for the heavily debated role of foreseeability in tort law. In Palsgraf v. Long Island Railroad Co., then-Chief Judge Benjamin Cardozo argued that foreseeability is a necessary requirement to establish duty, while Judge William S. Andrews dissented on the grounds that duty describes the general relationship that exists in society and that foreseeability should be a consideration for proximate cause. Most consider this debate meaningful as dictating that when foreseeability is considered--in duty versus in proximate cause--will determine who considers it--judge versus jury. While conventional thinking suggests that a Cardozo view of duty implies that judges will be the arbiter of foreseeability, many states have departed from this thinking and assigned juries as the arbiter of foreseeability independent of the duty versus proximate cause debate. This Article tests the effect of foreseeability consideration by using legal precedent variation in foreseeability by state. Borrowing from the tort reform literature, it considers three potential outcomes that have been shown to matter to changes in tort law: accidental deaths, infant mortality rates, and torts case starts. To properly identify the effect of changes to foreseeability consideration on these outcomes, I employ the common empirical strategies of two-way fixed effects regressions and Mundlak regressions, which represent a new advancement in the empirical literature. I find little evidence that when foreseeability is considered--in duty versus in proximate cause--matters, but who considers it does. States in which judges are the arbiter of foreseeability experience an increase in accidental deaths and an increase in the infant mortality rate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024