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The article presents a defense and security report on Indonesia, including a projection of up to 2018, for the second quarter of 2014. Included in the report are analysis for the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats (SWOT) for Indonesia's security and defense, political, economic and business environment, industry forecast for defense expenditure and production, exports and imports. Also discussed are the two key risks to forecast scenario and macroeconomic forecasts.

The article forecasts the trends in Indonesia's defense industry for 2011 until 2015. Based on the overall gross domestic product (GDP) and the percentage of GDP, Indonesia's defense spending ratio is expected to increase over the coming years. With the country's defense industry remaining mired in government uncertainty, arms exports are forecast to stagnate while the increasing average of arms and munitions imports is expected to continue. A macroeconomic forecast of the country is presented, including growth of private consumption and growth in GDP.

A strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats (SWOT) analysis for the defense industry, security, economics and politics in Indonesia as of the first quarter of 2011 is presented. There is a small chance of inter-state conflict due to strong diplomacy in the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN). The ongoing reorganization of the defense sector may attract the private sector.

The article presents a key risk forecast scenario for the Indonesian defence industry as of the fourth quarter of 2010. It is predicted that arms exports will stagnate as the country's defence industry remains mired in government uncertainty. The country is also expected to sustain a modest level of economic growth based on strong private sector demand.

This article provides an overview of the condition of the defense industry in Indonesia in 2010. Business Monitor International (BMI) describes the industry as being controlled by three state-owned companies involved in defense manufacturing. BMI observes a decrease in inventories of functioning military equipment for the Indonesian military due to a lack of economic development. The firm also assesses the move of the country's firearms trade to diversify from its partners.

The article presents a scenario forecast in Indonesia's armed forces industry for 2010 which mainly focuses on the threat of a terrorist attack. It also reports an increase in the country's real gross domestic product by 3.9% in the third quarter of 2009. It also states that the government will likely adopt a less aggressive fiscal policy in 2010. Charts which represent Indonesia's armed forces, total government expenditure and employment and economic activity from 2007 to 2014 are also included.

In July, US Defence Secretary Robert Gates visited Indonesia to discuss strengthening US-Indonesian military ties. He announced that Washington is lifting its ban on links with Indonesia's Kopassus special forces. The ban was imposed because of reported human rights abuses by Kompassus. Indonesia is seen as the largest and, arguably, the most strategically important state in South East Asia. On June 10, the Indonesian Ministry of Defence and the US Department of Defence signed the US-Indonesia Defence Framework Arrangement, which increases military cooperation in training, purchasing and maritime security. The US moves to enhance its position in South East Asia are ultimately aimed at containing Chinese influence, which has been on the rise as the country has emerged as a major trade partner and source of investment for the region. The US is reasserting its influence in South East Asia, as it attempts to internationalise the dispute over the ownership of the South China Sea. These moves are infuriating to China - at stake is whether China will be able to exert its power beyond its borders. Although Indonesia has returned to relative orderliness since the post-Suharto chaos of the late 1990s and early 2000s, the country faces multiple challenges and threats to its stability that could flare up again if President Yudhoyono or his successor proves incompetent or if improved governance fails to take hold. These include: poverty and unemployment; the young population profile; a high degree of ethnic diversity; an immature political system; and Islamist terrorism. Terrorism will remain a threat for Indonesia over the longer term, despite the detention of radical Muslim cleric Abu Bakar Bashir in early August on suspected links to Islamic militant training camps. The Jakarta bomb attack in 2009 serves as a reminder against any complacency that Islamic militancy may be receding. Piracy in South East Asia is still a major security issue, especially in the Malacca Strait and waters around Indonesia. The Strait is one of the world's main maritime 'chokepoints.' There are fears that terrorists could block the channel. Nine attacks were recorded from August 16 to September 2. Since February, 26 attacks have taken place around Indonesia's islands of Mangkai, Anambas and Natuna. In 2009, there were only seven for the whole year. The International Maritime Bureau has appealed to Indonesia to increase anti-piracy patrols, and has warned ships to keep a strict piracy watch. Indonesia's real GDP growth reached 6.2% y-o-y in Q210, accelerating from 5.7% in the preceding quarter, taking H110 growth to a robust 6.0%. Beyond 2010, we project Indonesia's real GDP growth to reach 5.3% in 2011, headwinds from a slowing global economy notwithstanding. The growth momentum remains strong across all components of GDP by expenditure, excluding government consumption. Vibrant private sector demand supports our view that Indonesia will be able to sustain this level of economic growth over the long term, forecasting real GDP growth to average 6.2% over the coming decade. This sanguine outlook for the Indonesian economy is largely due to its strong domestic economic fundamentals. However, we are projecting a slowdown in the major economies, including the US, China and the eurozone, going into 2011. Although Indonesia - with its large domestic consumption base - is relatively more insulated to a slowdown in external demand, there would still be some spill-over negative impact on the economy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In July, US Defence Secretary Robert Gates visited Indonesia to discuss strengthening US-Indonesian military ties. He announced that Washington is lifting its ban on links with Indonesia's Kopassus special forces. The ban was imposed because of reported human rights abuses by Kompassus. Indonesia is seen as the largest and, arguably, the most strategically important state in South East Asia. On June 10, the Indonesian Ministry of Defence and the US Department of Defence signed the US-Indonesia Defence Framework Arrangement, which increases military cooperation in training, purchasing and maritime security. The US moves to enhance its position in South East Asia are ultimately aimed at containing Chinese influence, which has been on the rise as the country has emerged as a major trade partner and source of investment for the region. The US is reasserting its influence in South East Asia, as it attempts to internationalise the dispute over the ownership of the South China Sea. These moves are infuriating to China - at stake is whether China will be able to exert its power beyond its borders. Although Indonesia has returned to relative orderliness since the post-Suharto chaos of the late 1990s and early 2000s, the country faces multiple challenges and threats to its stability that could flare up again if President Yudhoyono or his successor proves incompetent or if improved governance fails to take hold. These include: poverty and unemployment; the young population profile; a high degree of ethnic diversity; an immature political system; and Islamist terrorism. Terrorism will remain a threat for Indonesia over the longer term, despite the detention of radical Muslim cleric Abu Bakar Bashir in early August on suspected links to Islamic militant training camps. The Jakarta bomb attack in 2009 serves as a reminder against any complacency that Islamic militancy may be receding. Piracy in South East Asia is still a major security issue, especially in the Malacca Strait and waters around Indonesia. The Strait is one of the world's main maritime 'chokepoints.' There are fears that terrorists could block the channel. Nine attacks were recorded from August 16 to September 2. Since February, 26 attacks have taken place around Indonesia's islands of Mangkai, Anambas and Natuna. In 2009, there were only seven for the whole year. The International Maritime Bureau has appealed to Indonesia to increase anti-piracy patrols, and has warned ships to keep a strict piracy watch. Indonesia's real GDP growth reached 6.2% y-o-y in Q210, accelerating from 5.7% in the preceding quarter, taking H110 growth to a robust 6.0%. Beyond 2010, we project Indonesia's real GDP growth to reach 5.3% in 2011, headwinds from a slowing global economy notwithstanding. The growth momentum remains strong across all components of GDP by expenditure, excluding government consumption. Vibrant private sector demand supports our view that Indonesia will be able to sustain this level of economic growth over the long term, forecasting real GDP growth to average 6.2% over the coming decade. This sanguine outlook for the Indonesian economy is largely due to its strong domestic economic fundamentals. However, we are projecting a slowdown in the major economies, including the US, China and the eurozone, going into 2011. Although Indonesia - with its large domestic consumption base - is relatively more insulated to a slowdown in external demand, there would still be some spill-over negative impact on the economy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article discusses the condition of the retail industry in the Asia Pacific with an emphasis on Indonesia. It says that one of the main factors contributory to the growth of the region's retail industry is the establishment of organized retail system. It tells that Singapore occupies the bottom place while China tops the region in terms of business environment. It explores Indonesia's potential returns limits and risks to the realisation of returns.

The article provides an outlook on the retail trade and industry of China as compared to other countries in Asia Pacific including India and Indonesia. It notes that China is rated second behind Indonesia in the Retail Business Environment Ratings of the Business Monitor International Ltd. It also explains that China scores highly for value of retail and potential for retail sales growth due to its enormous population size and growing affluence.

The article presents a SWOT analysis of the security, defence, political, economic and business landscape of Indonesia as of the first quarter of 2010. Indonesia's population and size is said to make it a significant regional force. It notes the poor research and development facilities of the country's defence industry. The security of the country is still being threatened by the regional militant group Jemaah Islamia. It notes the need for the country to strengthen its business environment to attract foreign investments.

The article presents an executive summary of the state of Indonesia's defense and security as of February 2009. It has been observed that the country's problems are more focused on economic problems rather than political or religious. The country also enjoys an Improved security environment in central Sulawesi and parts of Maluku. However, the continued unrest in Papua has transformed into something more complex.

The article provides a macroeconomic forecast for Indonesia from 2007 to 2011. It notes that the economic growth of the country was supported by monetary policy and a resilient export sector. It predicts that the economy will meet the year-end gross domestic product (GDP) forecast of 6.2%. The role of poor infrastructure on the deterioration of export is also cited.

The article reports on the state of defense and security in Indonesia as of the first quarter of 2011. The peaceful parliamentary and presidential elections in 2004 and 2009 serve as evidence that democracy is taking place efficiently. There is growing resentment in the Muslim population due to the issue of Christinisation brought by evangelical protestant groups. The Indonesian economy, being isolated, was not affected by the global financial crisis (GFC).

The article presents a summary of the state of Indonesia's defence and security as of the fourth quarter of 2010. The country's Kopassus special forces are expected to benefit from the decision of the U.S. to lift its bans on links with the special forces. Indonesian security concerns are attributed to terrorism and piracy in South East Asia. Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth is forecast to average 6.2 percent over the coming decade.

The article discusses the defense and security situation in Indonesia in the third quarter of 2010. Business Monitor International (BMI) observes little progress in a government programme to reduce dependency on imported defense equipment. The firm warns about the threat of terrorist attacks in the country. In addition, the firm acknowledges the growth of the Indonesian economy due to improved private consumption and investment.

This article presents a country risk profile for Indonesia. The Democratic Party of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono has won the parliamentary elections in April 2009. The election results is expected to have a substantial impact on the scheduled July 2009 presidential election in which Yudhoyono is expected to seek for re-election. The economy is facing downside risks in 2009 mainly due to decline in commodity prices and acute weakness in its main trading partners. Gross domestic product is expected to grow at 5.0% compared with 6.1% in 2008.